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Football · Brazil Serie B · 05/07, 01:00

Goias vs Ceara

Expected goals: 2.06 (Goias 1.22 · Ceara 0.85). The model gives 44% home, 31% draw, 25% away. Over 2 goals (50%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

44%1
44% 31% 25%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Goias 1495 · Ceara 1459
GoiasDrawCeara
Our model43%32%24%
Market44%31%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals2.06Goias 1.22 · Ceara 0.85
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 50%
BTTSNo · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GoiasCeara
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.40.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.41.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.43.9 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · Goias 1–4–1 Ceara

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/08/24
Brazil Serie B
Goias2-1
HT 1-1
Ceara
20/04/24
Brazil Serie B
Ceara1-1
HT 1-1
Goias
06/10/22
Brazil Serie A
Ceara1-1
HT 0-0
Goias
12/06/22
Brazil Serie A
Goias1-1
HT 0-1
Ceara
21/01/21
Brazil Serie A
Goias0-4
HT 0-2
Ceara
27/09/20
Brazil Serie A
Ceara2-2
HT 0-1
Goias

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vila Nova 15843 231728
2 Gremio Novorizontino 15762 241427
3 Criciuma 15762 171127
4 Sao Bernardo SP 15744 201225
5 EC Juventude 15744 16825
6 Operario PR 15744 191725
7 Fortaleza 15744 181625
8 Sport Recife 15672 181125
9 Athletic Club MG 15573 161522
10 Goias 15636 142121
11 Atletico GO 15564 181621
12 Nautico 15627 211920
13 Cuiaba 15483 11920
14 Ceara 15456 151817
15 Botafogo SP 14446 141316
16 CRB 14446 232416
17 Londrina 15438 192415
18 Avai 15348 152113
19 Ponte Preta 152211 10298
20 America MG 151311 10266

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGoiasCeara
Operario PR 0-3 L 1-2 L
Gremio Novorizontino 0-4 L 1-2 L
Atletico GO 1-1 D 0-1 L
Avai 2-0 W 2-1 W
Botafogo SP 1-0 W 0-1 L
Fortaleza 1-4 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Goias

LWLWWDLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Nautico
Brazil Serie B
 1-0 1-0 32 W
21/06 Operario PR
Brazil Serie B
 0-3 0-3 103 L
14/06 Athletic Club MG
Brazil Serie B
 1-0 1-1 48 D
11/06 Gremio Novorizontino
Brazil Serie B
 0-1 0-4 94 L
30/05 Atletico GO
Brazil Serie B
 0-0 1-1 27 D
25/05 Avai
Brazil Serie B
 0-0 2-0 64 W
16/05 Botafogo SP
Brazil Serie B
 0-0 1-0 47 W
13/05 Cruzeiro
Copa do Brasil
 0-1 0-1 94 L
09/05 Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B
 0-0 1-0 47 W
03/05 Fortaleza
Brazil Serie B
 1-0 1-4 37 L

Ceara

LLWWLLWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 EC Juventude
Brazil Serie B
 0-2 0-2 41 L
21/06 Botafogo SP
Brazil Serie B
 0-0 0-1 74 L
16/06 Criciuma
Brazil Serie B
 0-1 1-1 30 D
11/06 Avai
Brazil Serie B
 2-0 2-1 85 W
31/05 Operario PR
Brazil Serie B
 1-0 1-2 710 L
23/05 Gremio Novorizontino
Brazil Serie B
 1-1 1-2 25 L
17/05 Fortaleza
Brazil Serie B
 0-1 2-1 37 W
14/05 Atletico Mineiro
Copa do Brasil
 2-0 2-1 34 W
10/05 Atletico GO
Brazil Serie B
 0-1 0-1 115 L
07/05 Vitoria
Brazil Copa Nordeste
 0-0 0-1 45 L