BetsTalentBetsTalent
ES EN
Log in Sign up Telegram
Football · Brazil Serie B · 04/07, 21:00

Londrina vs CRB

Expected goals: 3.01 (Londrina 1.54 · CRB 1.46). The model gives 38% home, 28% draw, 34% away. Over 2.25 goals (59%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.

38%1
38% 28% 34%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Londrina 1475 · CRB 1526
LondrinaDrawCRB
Our model38%26%35%
Market37%30%33%
Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals3.01Londrina 1.54 · CRB 1.46
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 59%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CRB (rating 1475 vs 1526).
  • H2H favours CRB: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LondrinaCRB
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.72 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.81.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.52.7 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.55.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Londrina 1–1–4 CRB

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
29/10/23
Brazil Serie B
Londrina1-1
HT 0-0
CRB
01/07/23
Brazil Serie B
CRB2-1
HT 2-0
Londrina
31/08/22
Brazil Serie B
Londrina1-0
HT 0-0
CRB
19/05/22
Brazil Serie B
CRB1-0
HT 1-0
Londrina
11/11/21
Brazil Serie B
CRB1-0
HT 0-0
Londrina
09/08/21
Brazil Serie B
Londrina0-2
HT 0-1
CRB

Standings · Brazil Serie B

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vila Nova 15843 231728
2 Gremio Novorizontino 15762 241427
3 Criciuma 15762 171127
4 Sao Bernardo SP 15744 201225
5 EC Juventude 15744 16825
6 Operario PR 15744 191725
7 Fortaleza 15744 181625
8 Sport Recife 15672 181125
9 Athletic Club MG 15573 161522
10 Goias 15636 142121
11 Atletico GO 15564 181621
12 Nautico 15627 211920
13 Cuiaba 15483 11920
14 Ceara 15456 151817
15 Botafogo SP 14446 141316
16 CRB 14446 232416
17 Londrina 15438 192415
18 Avai 15348 152113
19 Ponte Preta 152211 10298
20 America MG 151311 10266

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLondrinaCRB
Cuiaba 2-2 D 0-2 L
Fortaleza 0-3 L 1-1 D
Ponte Preta 4-1 W 4-2 W
Sao Bernardo SP 1-3 L 2-3 L
Operario PR 0-3 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CRB (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Londrina

LLLWLLLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Cuiaba
Brazil Serie B
 2-0 2-2 07 D
20/06 Athletic Club MG
Brazil Serie B
 0-0 2-0 24 W
16/06 Avai
Brazil Serie B
 1-1 3-2 104 W
06/06 Criciuma
Brazil Serie B
 0-1 0-1 54 L
31/05 Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B
 0-0 0-1 212 L
23/05 Fortaleza
Brazil Serie B
 0-1 0-3 17 L
19/05 Ponte Preta
Brazil Serie B
 1-0 4-1 47 W
13/05 Sao Bernardo SP
Brazil Serie B
 0-2 1-3 94 L
03/05 Operario PR
Brazil Serie B
 0-2 0-3 47 L
26/04 EC Juventude
Brazil Serie B
 0-1 0-1 85 L

CRB

WWWDWWLLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 Fortaleza
Brazil Serie B
 1-0 1-1 72 D
13/06 Atletico GO
Brazil Serie B
 3-0 3-3 37 D
07/06 Sao Bernardo SP
Brazil Serie B
 1-1 2-3 87 L
01/06 Cuiaba
Brazil Serie B
 0-2 0-2 32 L
24/05 Ponte Preta
Brazil Serie B
 1-2 4-2 123 W
18/05 Sport Recife
Brazil Serie B
 1-0 2-1 26 W
15/05 Fortaleza
Copa do Brasil
 0-0 0-0 33 D
10/05 Operario PR
Brazil Serie B
 2-0 3-0 65 W
04/05 America MG
Brazil Serie B
 1-1 2-1 48 W
30/04 Sousa EC
Brazil Copa Nordeste
 2-0 3-0 78 W