Prediction: Gold Coast United (W) vs Souths United NPL (W)
Expected goals: 3.41 (Gold Coast United (W) 2.7 · Souths United NPL (W) 0.7). The model gives 82% home, 12% draw, 6% away. Under 3.75 goals (54%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 2-0.
On recent form, Gold Coast United (W) is 4-2-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Souths United NPL (W) 0-0-10 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Gold Coast United (W) won 3 and Souths United NPL (W) 1, with 2 draws.
| Gold Coast United (W) | Draw | Souths United NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 85% | 10% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gold Coast United (W) (rating 1492 vs 1344).
- H2H favours Gold Coast United (W): 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gold Coast United (W) | Souths United NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.3 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 0/10/90% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.2 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 1.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gold Coast United (W) 3–2–1 Souths United NPL (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Gold Coast United (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Souths United NPL (W) |
| 22/02/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Souths United NPL (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Gold Coast United (W) |
| 10/08/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Souths United NPL (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Gold Coast United (W) |
| 05/06/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Gold Coast United (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Souths United NPL (W) |
| 23/03/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Souths United NPL (W) | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Gold Coast United (W) |
| 23/06/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Souths United NPL (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Gold Coast United (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Brisbane City (W) | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 47 | 12 | 39 |
| 3 | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 14 | 39 |
| 4 | Lions FC (W) | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 19 | 33 |
| 5 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 29 |
| 6 | Gold Coast United (W) | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 24 |
| 7 | FQ QAS Women | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 58 | 19 |
| 8 | Capalaba (W) | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 41 | 19 |
| 9 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 31 | 17 |
| 10 | Souths United NPL (W) | 19 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | 68 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gold Coast United (W) | Souths United NPL (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| FQ QAS Women | 1-1 D | 3-4 L |
| Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 1-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Capalaba (W) | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Lions FC (W) | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Gold Coast United (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gold Coast United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 24/06 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/05 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 19/04 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
Souths United NPL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-6 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21/06 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 12/06 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-5 | 2-8 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gold Coast United (W) vs Souths United NPL (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gold Coast United (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Gold Coast United (W) 82%, draw 12%, Souths United NPL (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Gold Coast United (W) vs Souths United NPL (W)?
The model expects 3.41 goals (Gold Coast United (W) 2.7 · Souths United NPL (W) 0.7), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gold Coast United (W) vs Souths United NPL (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.