Prediction: Lions FC (W) vs Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
Expected goals: 2.78 (Lions FC (W) 1.73 · Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 1.05). The model gives 53% home, 24% draw, 23% away. Over 2.75 goals (50%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Lions FC (W) with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Brisbane Olympic FC (W) has piled up 5-2-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Lions FC (W) and 0 for Brisbane Olympic FC (W), with 2 draws.
| Lions FC (W) | Draw | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Lions FC (W): 4-2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lions FC (W) | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 2.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lions FC (W) 4–2–0 Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Lions FC (W) |
| 21/02/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lions FC (W) |
| 02/08/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Lions FC (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) |
| 01/06/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Lions FC (W) |
| 22/03/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Lions FC (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) |
| 13/08/23 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Lions FC (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Brisbane City (W) | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 47 | 12 | 39 |
| 3 | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 14 | 39 |
| 4 | Lions FC (W) | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 19 | 33 |
| 5 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 29 |
| 6 | Gold Coast United (W) | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 24 |
| 7 | FQ QAS Women | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 58 | 19 |
| 8 | Capalaba (W) | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 41 | 19 |
| 9 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 31 | 17 |
| 10 | Souths United NPL (W) | 19 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | 68 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lions FC (W) | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Gold Coast Knights (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Capalaba (W) | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Brisbane City (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| FQ QAS Women | 3-2 W | 3-4 L |
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Souths United NPL (W) | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Gold Coast United (W) | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lions FC (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lions FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/06 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 03/06 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 31/03 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 03/06 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lions FC (W) vs Brisbane Olympic FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lions FC (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Lions FC (W) 53%, draw 24%, Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 23%.
How many goals are expected in Lions FC (W) vs Brisbane Olympic FC (W)?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Lions FC (W) 1.73 · Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 1.05), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lions FC (W) vs Brisbane Olympic FC (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.