Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 03/07, 11:45

Kingston City vs Nunawading

Expected goals: 2.91 (Kingston City 1.11 · Nunawading 1.8). The model gives 23% home, 24% draw, 53% away. Under 3 goals (52%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

53%2

23% 24% 53%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kingston City 1406 · Nunawading 1468

	Kingston City	Draw	Nunawading
Our model	22%	25%	52%
Market	24%	22%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals2.91Kingston City 1.11 · Nunawading 1.8

Over / Under 3Under 3 · 52%

BTTSYes · 55%

Most likely total2 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nunawading (rating 1406 vs 1468).
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kingston City	Nunawading
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.9	0.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.3	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4	1.4 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	3.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.80

X4.00

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 3.80 → 3.80 – 0%

X 4.00 → 4.00 – 0%

2 1.67 → 1.67 – 0%

Over/Under 3

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kingston City 0–0–1 Nunawading

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/03/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Nunawading	2-1 HT 0-0	Kingston City

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malvern City	18	13	1	4	42	22	40
2	Goulburn Valley Suns FC	17	10	4	3	36	23	34
3	Essendon Royals	18	11	0	7	45	27	33
4	Bayside Argonauts FC	17	9	3	5	36	27	30
5	Box Hill United	17	8	5	4	26	18	29
6	Keilor Park	16	8	1	7	21	21	25
7	Whittlesea United	18	6	6	6	27	20	24
8	Nunawading	17	6	4	7	18	25	22
9	Eastern Lions	18	5	5	8	28	25	20
10	Springvale White Eagles	18	5	5	8	19	33	20
11	Werribee City	18	5	4	9	25	32	19
12	Kingston City	17	5	1	11	14	39	16
13	Altona City	18	3	6	9	17	27	15
14	Moreland City SC	15	2	5	8	18	33	11

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kingston City	Nunawading
Box Hill United	1-3 L	1-0 W
Bayside Argonauts FC	0-5 L	1-1 D
Keilor Park	0-2 L	2-0 W
Werribee City	0-2 L	1-4 L
Eastern Lions	0-4 L	0-2 L
Malvern City	0-5 L	1-2 L
Altona City	2-1 W	0-0 D
Springvale White Eagles	2-3 L	1-1 D
Essendon Royals	0-3 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 8 L	2 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Nunawading (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kingston City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/06	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-2	1-3	4	4	L
12/06	Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
06/06	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-4	0-5	–	–	L
29/05	Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
22/05	Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
15/05	Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-4	6	0	L
09/05	Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-5	1	2	L
01/05	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
24/04	Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2	2-2	2-3	7	2	L
17/04	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-3	5	2	L

Nunawading

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/06	Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2	2-0	2-0	2	8	W
05/06	Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
29/05	Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
22/05	Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-3	1-5	5	6	L
09/05	Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
02/05	Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
25/04	Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-3	1-4	0	3	L
18/04	Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2	0-1	1-2	1	2	L
11/04	Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
02/04	Preston Lions Australia Cup Qualifying	0-1	0-4	1	6	L