Prediction: Goulburn Valley Suns FC vs Moreland City SC
Expected goals: 3.46 (Goulburn Valley Suns FC 2.29 · Moreland City SC 1.17). The model gives 62% home, 20% draw, 18% away. Over 3.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Recent form leaves Goulburn Valley Suns FC with 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses over 10 games; Moreland City SC has piled up 1-3-6 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Goulburn Valley Suns FC won 2 and Moreland City SC 4.
| Goulburn Valley Suns FC | Draw | Moreland City SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| Market | 62% | 20% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Goulburn Valley Suns FC (rating 1585 vs 1423).
- H2H favours Moreland City SC: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Goulburn Valley Suns FC | Moreland City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0 / 1 | 4 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Goulburn Valley Suns FC 2–0–4 Moreland City SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Moreland City SC | 2-5 HT 1-1 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC |
| 09/07/22 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Moreland City SC |
| 23/04/22 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Moreland City SC | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC |
| 08/06/19 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Moreland City SC | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC |
| 08/09/18 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Moreland City SC |
| 19/05/18 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Moreland City SC | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern City | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 23 | 34 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 27 | 33 |
| 4 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 30 |
| 5 | Box Hill United | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | Keilor Park | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Whittlesea United | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 24 |
| 8 | Nunawading | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 22 |
| 9 | Eastern Lions | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 20 |
| 10 | Springvale White Eagles | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 33 | 20 |
| 11 | Werribee City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 19 |
| 12 | Kingston City | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 16 |
| 13 | Altona City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 15 |
| 14 | Moreland City SC | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 11 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | Moreland City SC |
|---|---|---|
| Eastern Lions | 2-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Altona City | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Essendon Royals | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Whittlesea United | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Box Hill United | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Bayside Argonauts FC | 3-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Werribee City | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Malvern City | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Springvale White Eagles | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Kingston City | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 4 D 0 L | 1 W 3 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Goulburn Valley Suns FC (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Goulburn Valley Suns FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Moreland City SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 01/05 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 27/03 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Goulburn Valley Suns FC vs Moreland City SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Goulburn Valley Suns FC win (62%). Probabilities: Goulburn Valley Suns FC 62%, draw 20%, Moreland City SC 18%.
How many goals are expected in Goulburn Valley Suns FC vs Moreland City SC?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Goulburn Valley Suns FC 2.29 · Moreland City SC 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Goulburn Valley Suns FC vs Moreland City SC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.