Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 03/07, 11:30
Box Hill United vs Whittlesea United
Expected goals: 2.83 (Box Hill United 1.48 · Whittlesea United 1.35). The model gives 40% home, 26% draw, 34% away. Under 3 goals (55%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
40%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Box Hill United 1512 · Whittlesea United 1518
| Box Hill United | Draw | Whittlesea United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 24% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.83Box Hill United 1.48 · Whittlesea United 1.35
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 55%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Box Hill United | Whittlesea United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 2.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 2.2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Box Hill United 1–1–1 Whittlesea United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Whittlesea United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Box Hill United |
| 01/08/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Box Hill United | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Whittlesea United |
| 25/04/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Whittlesea United | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Box Hill United |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern City | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 23 | 34 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 27 | 33 |
| 4 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 30 |
| 5 | Box Hill United | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | Keilor Park | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Whittlesea United | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 24 |
| 8 | Nunawading | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 22 |
| 9 | Eastern Lions | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 20 |
| 10 | Springvale White Eagles | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 33 | 20 |
| 11 | Werribee City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 19 |
| 12 | Kingston City | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 16 |
| 13 | Altona City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 15 |
| 14 | Moreland City SC | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Box Hill United | Whittlesea United |
|---|---|---|
| Werribee City | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Malvern City | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Springvale White Eagles | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Moreland City SC | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Keilor Park | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Eastern Lions | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Whittlesea United (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Box Hill United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/06 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/05 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 09/05 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/04 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
Whittlesea United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/06 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 05/06 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 01/05 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/04 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 10/04 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | L |