Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 2 · 03/07, 12:30
Springvale White Eagles vs Keilor Park
Expected goals: 2.64 (Springvale White Eagles 1.22 · Keilor Park 1.42). The model gives 32% home, 26% draw, 42% away. Under 2.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
42%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Springvale White Eagles 1468 · Keilor Park 1522
| Springvale White Eagles | Draw | Keilor Park | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 28% | 41% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.64Springvale White Eagles 1.22 · Keilor Park 1.42
Over / Under 2.75Under 2.75 · 52%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Keilor Park (rating 1468 vs 1522).
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Springvale White Eagles | Keilor Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.2 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.7 | 2.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.4 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Springvale White Eagles 0–0–1 Keilor Park
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Keilor Park | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Springvale White Eagles |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern City | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 23 | 34 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 27 | 33 |
| 4 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 30 |
| 5 | Box Hill United | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | Keilor Park | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Whittlesea United | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 24 |
| 8 | Nunawading | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 22 |
| 9 | Eastern Lions | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 20 |
| 10 | Springvale White Eagles | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 33 | 20 |
| 11 | Werribee City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 19 |
| 12 | Kingston City | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 16 |
| 13 | Altona City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 15 |
| 14 | Moreland City SC | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Springvale White Eagles | Keilor Park |
|---|---|---|
| Eastern Lions | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Altona City | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Essendon Royals | 0-8 L | 1-0 W |
| Whittlesea United | 0-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Box Hill United | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Bayside Argonauts FC | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Werribee City | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Kingston City | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Keilor Park (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Springvale White Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/06 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/06 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-8 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Malvern City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Keilor Park
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 29/05 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Eastern Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Preston Lions Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/04 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/04 | Werribee City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |