Prediction: Spring Hills FC (W) vs Heidelberg United (W)
Expected goals: 3.01 (Spring Hills FC (W) 1.39 · Heidelberg United (W) 1.62). The model gives 32% home, 26% draw, 42% away. Under 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Spring Hills FC (W) with 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; Heidelberg United (W) has piled up 4-1-5 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Spring Hills FC (W) and 2 for Heidelberg United (W), with 1 draw.
| Spring Hills FC (W) | Draw | Heidelberg United (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| Market | 33% | 25% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Heidelberg United (W) (rating 1443 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Heidelberg United (W): 2-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spring Hills FC (W) | Heidelberg United (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.7 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.9 / 0 | 1.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spring Hills FC (W) 0–1–2 Heidelberg United (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Heidelberg United (W) | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Spring Hills FC (W) |
| 02/08/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Heidelberg United (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Spring Hills FC (W) |
| 09/05/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Spring Hills FC (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Heidelberg United (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Essendon Royals (W) | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 38 |
| 2 | Bulleen Lions (W) | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 47 | 17 | 38 |
| 3 | Box Hill (W) | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 48 | 22 | 38 |
| 4 | South Melbourne (W) | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 18 | 35 |
| 5 | Avondale FC (W) | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 41 | 20 | 32 |
| 6 | Boroondara Eagles (W) | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 31 |
| 7 | Alamein FC (W) | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 20 | 29 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 31 | 26 |
| 9 | Spring Hills FC (W) | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 28 | 23 |
| 10 | Heidelberg United (W) | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 36 | 22 |
| 11 | Keilor Park (W) | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 19 |
| 12 | Preston Lions (W) | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 33 | 16 |
| 13 | Melbourne City NPL (W) | 18 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 18 | 72 | 7 |
| 14 | Bentleigh Greens (W) | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 69 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spring Hills FC (W) | Heidelberg United (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Preston Lions (W) | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Bentleigh Greens (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Essendon Royals (W) | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Melbourne City NPL (W) | 1-1 D | 9-3 W |
| Keilor Park (W) | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Avondale FC (W) | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Heidelberg United (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spring Hills FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/06 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 08/05 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
Heidelberg United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 19/05 | Avondale FC (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
4-0 | 9-3 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spring Hills FC (W) vs Heidelberg United (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Heidelberg United (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Spring Hills FC (W) 32%, draw 26%, Heidelberg United (W) 42%.
How many goals are expected in Spring Hills FC (W) vs Heidelberg United (W)?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Spring Hills FC (W) 1.39 · Heidelberg United (W) 1.62), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Spring Hills FC (W) vs Heidelberg United (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.