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Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 05/07, 07:00

Illawarra Stingrays (W) vs Sydney University (W)

Expected goals: 3.47 (Illawarra Stingrays (W) 1.41 · Sydney University (W) 2.06). The model gives 25% home, 23% draw, 52% away. Over 3 goals (55%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.

52%2
25% 23% 52%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Illawarra Stingrays (W) 1422 · Sydney University (W) 1506
Illawarra Stingrays (W)DrawSydney University (W)
Our model25%23%52%
Market26%22%52%
Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals3.47Illawarra Stingrays (W) 1.41 · Sydney University (W) 2.06
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 55%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sydney University (W) (rating 1422 vs 1506).
  • H2H favours Illawarra Stingrays (W): 5-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Illawarra Stingrays (W)Sydney University (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 22.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.51 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.22.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.4 / 0.11.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Illawarra Stingrays (W) 5–0–1 Sydney University (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/04/26
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
Sydney University (W)6-2
HT 3-1
Illawarra Stingrays (W)
08/06/25
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
Sydney University (W)1-2
HT 0-2
Illawarra Stingrays (W)
09/03/25
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
Illawarra Stingrays (W)2-1
HT 1-0
Sydney University (W)
30/06/24
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
Illawarra Stingrays (W)4-1
HT 1-1
Sydney University (W)
01/04/24
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
Sydney University (W)1-5
HT 0-2
Illawarra Stingrays (W)
26/07/23
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
Illawarra Stingrays (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Sydney University (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 University NSW (W) 171331 391342
2 Bulls FC Academy (W) 171241 471640
3 APIA Leichardt (W) 171214 442237
4 Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 161132 331836
5 Sydney University (W) 17836 413227
6 Northern Tigers FC (W) 17728 292523
7 Manly Utd (W) 17575 282322
8 Sydney Olympic FC (W) 17629 323420
9 Gladesville Ravens (W) 17629 263220
10 Macarthur Rams (W) 16538 212818
11 Hills United FC (W) 175210 182517
12 Illawarra Stingrays (W) 173410 152813
13 NWS Spirit (W) 174112 216613
14 Western City Rangers (W) 172114 16487

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentIllawarra Stingrays (W)Sydney University (W)
Gladesville Ravens (W) 3-0 W 1-1 D
University NSW (W) 1-3 L 1-1 D
Northern Tigers FC (W) 0-3 L 3-2 W
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 0-1 L 3-0 W
APIA Leichardt (W) 1-5 L 0-3 L
Manly Utd (W) 0-1 L 1-1 D
Sydney Olympic FC (W) 2-2 D 2-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 5 L 2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sydney University (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Illawarra Stingrays (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Gladesville Ravens (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 1-0 3-0 83 W
21/06 University NSW (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 1-2 1-3 50 L
14/06 Northern Tigers FC (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 0-0 0-3 42 L
07/06 Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 0-0 0-1 01 L
31/05 Macarthur Rams (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 0-0 1-2 43 L
26/05 Northern Tigers FC (W)
Australia New South Wales Cup Women
 0-1 0-3 20 L
24/05 Hills United FC (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 0-0 0-0 73 D
17/05 APIA Leichardt (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 0-2 1-5 22 L
10/05 Manly Utd (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 0-0 0-1 71 L
03/05 Sydney Olympic FC (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 0-0 2-2 30 D

Sydney University (W)

WWLWDDLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Western City Rangers (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 2-0 5-2 40 W
21/06 Sydney Olympic FC (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 0-2 2-3 54 L
14/06 Gladesville Ravens (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 0-1 1-1 43 D
07/06 APIA Leichardt (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 0-0 0-3 12 L
31/05 Manly Utd (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 1-0 1-1 72 D
23/05 University NSW (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 1-0 1-1 31 D
17/05 Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 2-0 3-0 21 W
10/05 Bulls FC Academy (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 0-1 0-6 50 L
02/05 NWS Spirit (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 3-0 6-0 81 W
25/04 Northern Tigers FC (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
 1-1 3-2 33 W