Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · 03/07, 12:30
Brunswick Juventus vs Brunswick City
Expected goals: 2.86 (Brunswick Juventus 1.73 · Brunswick City 1.13). The model gives 51% home, 24% draw, 25% away. Under 3.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brunswick Juventus 1491 · Brunswick City 1508
| Brunswick Juventus | Draw | Brunswick City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 26% | 24% |
| Market | 52% | 22% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.86Brunswick Juventus 1.73 · Brunswick City 1.13
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 55%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Brunswick Juventus: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brunswick Juventus | Brunswick City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 5.4 | 2.6 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brunswick Juventus 4–1–1 Brunswick City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/23 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Brunswick Juventus | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Brunswick City |
| 25/03/23 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Brunswick City | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Brunswick Juventus |
| 29/07/22 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Brunswick Juventus | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Brunswick City |
| 14/05/22 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Brunswick City | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Brunswick Juventus |
| 20/03/21 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Brunswick City | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Brunswick Juventus |
| 06/07/19 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Brunswick City | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Brunswick Juventus |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northcote City | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 16 | 39 |
| 2 | Melbourne Knights | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 15 | 35 |
| 3 | Brunswick Juventus | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 24 | 33 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory NPL | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 29 | 30 |
| 5 | Bulleen Lions | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 29 |
| 6 | North Geelong | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 33 | 27 |
| 7 | FC Melbourne Srbija | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 26 |
| 8 | Eltham Redbacks | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 25 |
| 9 | Manningham United Blues | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 36 | 25 |
| 10 | Brunswick City | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 23 |
| 11 | Langwarrin | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 36 | 22 |
| 12 | Western United FC NPL | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 43 | 22 |
| 13 | North Sunshine Eagles | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 14 |
| 14 | Port Melbourne SC | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 42 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brunswick Juventus | Brunswick City |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory NPL | 0-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Eltham Redbacks | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Port Melbourne SC | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Manningham United Blues | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Brunswick City (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brunswick Juventus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Heidelberg Utd Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 1-5 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Bulleen Lions Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 08/06 | Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Oakleigh Cannons Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 12/05 | Box Hill United Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | D |
Brunswick City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/06 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
3-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 29/05 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 22/05 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 12/05 | Avondale Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 02/05 | North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |