Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · 03/07, 12:30
Melbourne Knights vs Bulleen Lions
Expected goals: 2.9 (Melbourne Knights 1.7 · Bulleen Lions 1.2). The model gives 49% home, 24% draw, 27% away. Under 3.25 goals (57%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
49%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Melbourne Knights 1520 · Bulleen Lions 1528
| Melbourne Knights | Draw | Bulleen Lions | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | 50% | 22% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.9Melbourne Knights 1.7 · Bulleen Lions 1.2
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 57%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Melbourne Knights | Bulleen Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 7.3 | 2 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Melbourne Knights 3–0–3 Bulleen Lions
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Bulleen Lions | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Melbourne Knights |
| 20/04/22 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | Melbourne Knights | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Bulleen Lions |
| 10/07/19 Australia Victoria Cup | Melbourne Knights | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Bulleen Lions |
| 27/08/18 Australia Victoria Premier League | Bulleen Lions | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Melbourne Knights |
| 20/05/18 Australia Victoria Premier League | Melbourne Knights | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Bulleen Lions |
| 16/06/17 Australia Victoria Premier League | Melbourne Knights | 0-5 HT 0-0 | Bulleen Lions |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northcote City | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 16 | 39 |
| 2 | Melbourne Knights | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 15 | 35 |
| 3 | Brunswick Juventus | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 24 | 33 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory NPL | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 29 | 30 |
| 5 | Bulleen Lions | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 29 |
| 6 | North Geelong | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 33 | 27 |
| 7 | FC Melbourne Srbija | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 26 |
| 8 | Eltham Redbacks | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 25 |
| 9 | Manningham United Blues | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 36 | 25 |
| 10 | Brunswick City | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 23 |
| 11 | Langwarrin | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 36 | 22 |
| 12 | Western United FC NPL | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 43 | 22 |
| 13 | North Sunshine Eagles | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 14 |
| 14 | Port Melbourne SC | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 42 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Melbourne Knights | Bulleen Lions |
|---|---|---|
| FC Melbourne Srbija | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Brunswick Juventus | 0-1 L | 5-1 W |
| North Sunshine Eagles | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Melbourne Victory NPL | 2-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Eltham Redbacks | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Port Melbourne SC | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Manningham United Blues | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Melbourne Knights (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Melbourne Knights
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/06 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 01/06 | Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 17/04 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
Bulleen Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 5-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 16/06 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 05/06 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 01/06 | Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 15/05 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/04 | South Melbourne Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 4 | W |