Football · Iceland Premier League · 02/07, 21:15

Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri

Expected goals: 3.86 (Vikingur Reykjavik 2.9 · KA Akureyri 0.96). The model gives 77% home, 14% draw, 10% away. Under 4 goals (54%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 2-0.

77%1

77% 14% 10%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vikingur Reykjavik 1649 · KA Akureyri 1443

	Vikingur Reykjavik	Draw	KA Akureyri
Our model	76%	15%	9%
Market	77%	13%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 3.86 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals3.86Vikingur Reykjavik 2.9 · KA Akureyri 0.96

Over / Under 4Under 4 · 54%

BTTSYes · 55%

Most likely total3 goals

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vikingur Reykjavik (rating 1649 vs 1443).
High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vikingur Reykjavik	KA Akureyri
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 0.7	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0	0.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.4 / 7.5	2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.17

X7.00

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.90

2 (+2.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.65

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 1.17 → 1.17 – 0%

X 7.00 → 7.00 – 0%

2 9.00 → 9.00 – 0%

Over/Under 4

Go premium to see every market's movement

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vikingur Reykjavik 3–0–3 KA Akureyri

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Iceland Premier League	KA Akureyri	0-2 HT 0-0	Vikingur Reykjavik
15/02/26 Iceland League Cup	KA Akureyri	2-0 HT 1-0	Vikingur Reykjavik
22/06/25 Iceland Premier League	KA Akureyri	0-2 HT 0-1	Vikingur Reykjavik
13/04/25 Iceland Premier League	Vikingur Reykjavik	4-0 HT 3-0	KA Akureyri
21/09/24 Iceland Cup	KA Akureyri	2-0 HT 1-0	Vikingur Reykjavik
20/07/24 Iceland Premier League	KA Akureyri	1-0 HT 0-0	Vikingur Reykjavik

Standings · Iceland Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	13	12	1	0	45	7	37
2	KR Reykjavik	13	9	1	3	45	31	28
3	Fram Reykjavik	12	8	2	2	31	24	26
4	Breidablik	12	5	4	3	30	24	19
5	Valur Reykjavik	13	6	1	6	24	26	19
6	Keflavik	12	4	3	5	17	23	15
7	IA Akranes	12	4	3	5	16	23	15
8	Stjarnan	13	4	2	7	26	29	14
9	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	12	3	3	6	21	26	12
10	KA Akureyri	12	3	1	8	17	25	10
11	FH Hafnarfjordur	12	1	4	7	16	29	7
12	Thor Akureyri	12	2	1	9	11	32	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vikingur Reykjavik	KA Akureyri
Breidablik	0-3 L	1-3 L
Fram Reykjavik	5-0 W	3-4 L
KR Reykjavik	2-0 W	3-5 L
Valur Reykjavik	5-1 W	0-1 L
Stjarnan	3-1 W	1-3 L
FH Hafnarfjordur	5-0 W	2-1 W
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Vikingur Reykjavik (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Vikingur Reykjavik

WWWWWWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Breidablik Iceland Cup	0-0	0-3	9	4	L
25/06	Breidablik Iceland Premier League	1-0	4-1	3	7	W
21/06	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	2-0	5-0	7	4	W
16/06	KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
12/06	IA Akranes Iceland Cup	0-0	2-1	7	6	W
31/05	Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	3-0	5-1	7	4	W
26/05	Stjarnan Iceland Premier League	2-0	3-1	8	6	W
22/05	FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League	2-0	5-0	11	1	W
17/05	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
13/05	HK Kopavogur Iceland Cup	0-0	2-0	14	5	W

KA Akureyri

LWWLWLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Stjarnan Iceland Premier League	0-2	1-3	8	6	L
21/06	Breidablik Iceland Premier League	0-0	1-3	5	3	L
15/06	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	2-3	3-4	6	6	L
31/05	KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	0-3	3-5	8	4	L
22/05	Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
17/05	FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
14/05	KF Aegir Iceland Cup	1-2	1-2	8	5	L
10/05	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
02/05	Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
26/04	Keflavik Iceland Premier League	1-1	1-2	3	4	L