Football · Australia NPL Victoria · 04/07, 10:00

Caroline Springs George Cross FC vs Oakleigh Cannons

Expected goals: 3.04 (Caroline Springs George Cross FC 1.09 · Oakleigh Cannons 1.95). The model gives 20% home, 23% draw, 57% away. Over 2.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

57%2

20% 23% 57%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Caroline Springs George Cross FC 1483 · Oakleigh Cannons 1605

	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	Draw	Oakleigh Cannons
Our model	20%	24%	56%
Market	21%	22%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals3.04Caroline Springs George Cross FC 1.09 · Oakleigh Cannons 1.95

Over / Under 2.75Over 2.75 · 53%

BTTSYes · 55%

Most likely total3 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oakleigh Cannons (rating 1483 vs 1605).
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	Oakleigh Cannons
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.2	2 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.4	2.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.33

X4.00

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.02

2 (-0.75)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 4.33 → 4.33 – 0%

X 4.00 → 4.00 – 0%

2 1.57 → 1.57 – 0%

Over/Under 2.75

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Both teams to score

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← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Caroline Springs George Cross FC 0–0–1 Oakleigh Cannons

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/03/26 Australia NPL Victoria	Oakleigh Cannons	2-1 HT 1-1	Caroline Springs George Cross FC

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Oakleigh Cannons	18	12	4	2	40	17	40
2	Hume City	18	12	3	3	39	22	39
3	Avondale	18	11	1	6	51	22	34
4	Heidelberg Utd	18	9	3	6	30	23	30
5	Melbourne City FC 2	17	7	5	5	32	20	26
6	Preston Lions	17	10	2	5	25	13	26
7	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	18	6	7	5	24	25	25
8	South Melbourne	18	8	1	9	28	32	25
9	Dandenong City	18	7	4	7	26	25	21
10	St Albans Saints	18	6	3	9	20	33	21
11	Altona Magic	18	5	4	9	21	32	19
12	Bentleigh Greens	18	4	4	10	17	39	16
13	Dandenong Thunder	18	3	3	12	20	41	12
14	Green Gully	18	1	4	13	10	39	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	Oakleigh Cannons
Preston Lions	0-2 L	1-0 W
Dandenong City	3-2 W	1-1 D
Dandenong Thunder	3-2 W	2-0 W
Green Gully	0-0 D	5-0 W
Altona Magic	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Oakleigh Cannons (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Caroline Springs George Cross FC

DLLWDLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-2	0	3	L
20/06	Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria	3-0	3-2	4	4	W
06/06	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	3-2	2	7	W
30/05	Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
27/05	Preston Lions Australia Cup Qualifying	0-2	0-6	3	0	L
22/05	Bentleigh Greens Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
18/05	South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria	3-0	4-0	4	2	W
09/05	Hume City Australia NPL Victoria	2-3	2-4	3	0	L
02/05	Avondale Australia NPL Victoria	1-3	2-5	4	2	L
25/04	Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	1-1	5	6	D

Oakleigh Cannons

WWWDWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/06	Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	1-0	8	0	W
19/06	Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
05/06	St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-2	9	4	D
30/05	Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
27/05	Brunswick Juventus Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
24/05	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
15/05	Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
12/05	St Albans Saints Australia Cup Qualifying	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
08/05	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	2-0	9	0	W
01/05	Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria	2-0	5-0	6	6	W