Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 03/07, 13:00
Adelaide Comets vs Croydon FC
Expected goals: 3.66 (Adelaide Comets 1.56 · Croydon FC 2.1). The model gives 28% home, 23% draw, 49% away. Under 3.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.
49%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adelaide Comets 1501 · Croydon FC 1521
| Adelaide Comets | Draw | Croydon FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| Market | 28% | 24% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.66Adelaide Comets 1.56 · Croydon FC 2.1
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Croydon FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adelaide Comets | Croydon FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.7 | 2.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.7 | 2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide Comets 1–2–3 Croydon FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia South Australia Premier League | Croydon FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Adelaide Comets |
| 14/06/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Croydon FC | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Adelaide Comets |
| 17/03/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide Comets | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Croydon FC |
| 03/08/24 Australia South Australia Premier League | Croydon FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Adelaide Comets |
| 11/05/24 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide Comets | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Croydon FC |
| 01/07/23 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide Comets | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Croydon FC |
Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Torrens Birkalla | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | Metrostars | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Adelaide City | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 14 | 32 |
| 4 | White City FK Beograd | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 27 |
| 5 | Playford | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 25 | 26 |
| 6 | Croydon FC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 24 |
| 7 | Adelaide United NPL | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 24 | 21 |
| 8 | West Adelaide | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 18 |
| 9 | Sturt Lions | 16 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 30 | 18 |
| 10 | Campbelltown City | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | 18 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 13 |
| 12 | Para Hills Knights | 16 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 74 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Adelaide Comets | Croydon FC |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United NPL | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| West Adelaide | 3-2 W | 5-5 D |
| Playford | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| West Torrens Birkalla | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Para Hills Knights | 4-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Metrostars | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Sturt Lions | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| White City FK Beograd | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Croydon FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adelaide Comets
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 12/06 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/05 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/05 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Fulham United FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
Croydon FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 13/06 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Adelaide Cobras Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | L |