Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 04/07, 09:30
White City FK Beograd vs West Adelaide
Expected goals: 3.4 (White City FK Beograd 2.14 · West Adelaide 1.26). The model gives 57% home, 22% draw, 21% away. Under 3.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · White City FK Beograd 1574 · West Adelaide 1475
| White City FK Beograd | Draw | West Adelaide | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 22% | 21% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.4White City FK Beograd 2.14 · West Adelaide 1.26
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours White City FK Beograd (rating 1574 vs 1475).
- H2H favours White City FK Beograd: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| White City FK Beograd | West Adelaide | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.9 | 2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · White City FK Beograd 4–2–0 West Adelaide
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Australia Cup Qualifying | West Adelaide | 0-3 HT 0-0 | White City FK Beograd |
| 11/04/26 Australia South Australia Premier League | West Adelaide | 0-0 HT 0-0 | White City FK Beograd |
| 18/01/25 Australia Friendlies | West Adelaide | 1-1 HT 0-0 | White City FK Beograd |
| 16/06/23 Australia South Australia Premier League | White City FK Beograd | 3-1 HT 1-0 | West Adelaide |
| 01/04/23 Australia South Australia Premier League | West Adelaide | 0-1 HT 0-0 | White City FK Beograd |
| 31/08/21 Australia South Australia State League 1 | West Adelaide | 0-2 HT 0-0 | White City FK Beograd |
Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Torrens Birkalla | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | Metrostars | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Adelaide City | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 14 | 32 |
| 4 | White City FK Beograd | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 27 |
| 5 | Playford | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 25 | 26 |
| 6 | Croydon FC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 24 |
| 7 | Adelaide United NPL | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 24 | 21 |
| 8 | West Adelaide | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 18 |
| 9 | Sturt Lions | 16 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 30 | 18 |
| 10 | Campbelltown City | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | 18 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 13 |
| 12 | Para Hills Knights | 16 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 74 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | White City FK Beograd | West Adelaide |
|---|---|---|
| Playford | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| West Torrens Birkalla | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Para Hills Knights | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Metrostars | 1-2 L | 3-3 D |
| Adelaide City | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Campbelltown City | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Croydon FC | 2-0 W | 5-5 D |
| Adelaide Comets | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: White City FK Beograd (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
White City FK Beograd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 17/06 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 16/05 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
West Adelaide
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
4-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 12/06 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | White City FK Beograd Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |