Football · South Korea K League 2 · 04/07, 12:30
Ansan Greeners FC vs Suwon FC
Expected goals: 2.69 (Ansan Greeners FC 0.86 · Suwon FC 1.83). The model gives 17% home, 24% draw, 59% away. Over 2.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
59%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ansan Greeners FC 1424 · Suwon FC 1490
| Ansan Greeners FC | Draw | Suwon FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 25% | 59% |
| Market | 17% | 23% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.69Ansan Greeners FC 0.86 · Suwon FC 1.83
Over / Under 2.75Over 2.75 · 51%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suwon FC (rating 1424 vs 1490).
- H2H favours Suwon FC: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ansan Greeners FC | Suwon FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.9 | 2.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ansan Greeners FC 2–0–4 Suwon FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/20 South Korea K League 2 | Ansan Greeners FC | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Suwon FC |
| 01/08/20 South Korea K League 2 | Suwon FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Ansan Greeners FC |
| 16/05/20 South Korea K League 2 | Ansan Greeners FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Suwon FC |
| 03/11/19 South Korea K League 2 | Ansan Greeners FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Suwon FC |
| 17/08/19 South Korea K League 2 | Suwon FC | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Ansan Greeners FC |
| 18/05/19 South Korea K League 2 | Ansan Greeners FC | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Suwon FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Busan I Park | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Suwon Bluewings | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land FC | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Daegu FC | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 25 |
| 5 | Hwaseong FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 25 |
| 6 | Gimpo FC | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 7 | Suwon FC | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 23 |
| 8 | Chungnam Asan FC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 20 |
| 9 | Cheonan City | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
| 10 | Seongnam FC | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | Gyeongnam FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 12 | Paju Frontier FC | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 13 | Yongin FC | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 13 |
| 14 | Chungbuk Cheongju | 14 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 21 | 13 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 11 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 8 |
| 17 | Gimhae FC 2008 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ansan Greeners FC | Suwon FC |
|---|---|---|
| Cheonan City | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Daegu FC | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Gimpo FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Hwaseong FC | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Seoul E-Land FC | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Seongnam FC | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Gyeongnam FC | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 0 W 5 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Suwon FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ansan Greeners FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Suwon FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 7 | D |
| 30/05 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 6 | W |