Football · South Korea K League 2 · 04/07, 12:30

Suwon Bluewings vs Seongnam FC

Expected goals: 2.17 (Suwon Bluewings 1.27 · Seongnam FC 0.9). The model gives 44% home, 30% draw, 26% away. Under 2.25 goals (54%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

44%1

44% 30% 26%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Suwon Bluewings 1523 · Seongnam FC 1489

	Suwon Bluewings	Draw	Seongnam FC
Our model	44%	31%	25%
Market	45%	29%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals2.17Suwon Bluewings 1.27 · Seongnam FC 0.9

Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 54%

BTTSNo · 51%

Most likely total2 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Suwon Bluewings: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Suwon Bluewings	Seongnam FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.1	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	1.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.10

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 2.00 → 2.00 – 0%

X 3.10 → 3.10 – 0%

2 3.40 → 3.40 – 0%

Over/Under 2.25

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Suwon Bluewings 4–1–1 Seongnam FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/25 South Korea K League 2	Suwon Bluewings	2-2 HT 0-1	Seongnam FC
06/06/25 South Korea K League 2	Seongnam FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Suwon Bluewings
27/04/25 South Korea K League 2	Suwon Bluewings	3-2 HT 0-0	Seongnam FC
22/09/24 South Korea K League 2	Seongnam FC	1-2 HT 1-0	Suwon Bluewings
22/06/24 South Korea K League 2	Suwon Bluewings	3-0 HT 1-0	Seongnam FC
05/05/24 South Korea K League 2	Seongnam FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Suwon Bluewings

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Busan I Park	14	10	2	2	30	17	32
2	Suwon Bluewings	14	9	2	3	20	12	29
3	Seoul E-Land FC	15	8	2	5	25	18	26
4	Daegu FC	14	7	4	3	27	19	25
5	Hwaseong FC	15	7	4	4	22	17	25
6	Gimpo FC	14	6	6	2	19	14	24
7	Suwon FC	14	6	5	3	26	20	23
8	Chungnam Asan FC	14	5	5	4	21	18	20
9	Cheonan City	14	4	7	3	18	16	19
10	Seongnam FC	14	3	8	3	14	14	17
11	Gyeongnam FC	14	4	4	6	17	23	16
12	Paju Frontier FC	14	4	2	8	15	20	14
13	Yongin FC	14	2	7	5	18	22	13
14	Chungbuk Cheongju	14	1	10	3	17	21	13
15	Ansan Greeners FC	14	3	2	9	14	25	11
16	Jeonnam Dragons	14	1	5	8	15	23	8
17	Gimhae FC 2008	14	1	3	10	11	30	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Suwon Bluewings	Seongnam FC
Hwaseong FC	2-1 W	3-1 W
Cheonan City	3-2 W	1-1 D
Suwon FC	1-3 L	0-0 D
Gyeongnam FC	1-0 W	1-1 D
Yongin FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Suwon Bluewings

WDLWWLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/06	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
30/05	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-2	8	6	L
25/05	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	1-0	3-2	8	3	W
09/05	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
03/05	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-3	2	5	L
25/04	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	1-0	3-2	11	5	W
18/04	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
12/04	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
05/04	Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
28/03	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-0	3	7	W

Seongnam FC

WLLDWDDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/06	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
30/05	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
24/05	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-2	1-3	1	6	L
17/05	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
10/05	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
03/05	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
25/04	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
19/04	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
12/04	Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	0-1	10	3	L
04/04	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	2-0	3-1	4	5	W