Football · South Korea K League 2 · 04/07, 12:30
Paju Frontier FC vs Yongin FC
Expected goals: 2.36 (Paju Frontier FC 1.14 · Yongin FC 1.22). The model gives 33% home, 29% draw, 37% away. Under 2.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
37%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paju Frontier FC 1452 · Yongin FC 1491
| Paju Frontier FC | Draw | Yongin FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 31% | 37% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.36Paju Frontier FC 1.14 · Yongin FC 1.22
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 53%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paju Frontier FC | Yongin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.7 | 2.1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Standings · South Korea K League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Busan I Park | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Suwon Bluewings | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land FC | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Daegu FC | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 25 |
| 5 | Hwaseong FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 25 |
| 6 | Gimpo FC | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 7 | Suwon FC | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 23 |
| 8 | Chungnam Asan FC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 20 |
| 9 | Cheonan City | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
| 10 | Seongnam FC | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | Gyeongnam FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 12 | Paju Frontier FC | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 13 | Yongin FC | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 13 |
| 14 | Chungbuk Cheongju | 14 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 21 | 13 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 11 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 8 |
| 17 | Gimhae FC 2008 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paju Frontier FC | Yongin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Daegu FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Busan I Park | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Gyeongnam FC | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Seongnam FC | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Seoul E-Land FC | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Gimhae FC 2008 | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Yongin FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paju Frontier FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 19/04 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 29/03 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Yongin FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 28/03 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |