Prediction: Moreton City Excelsior B vs Southside Eagles
Expected goals: 4.15 (Moreton City Excelsior B 2.66 · Southside Eagles 1.49). The model gives 62% home, 18% draw, 20% away. Over 4 goals (51%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 2-1.
On recent form, Moreton City Excelsior B is 5-3-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Southside Eagles 5-0-5 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Moreton City Excelsior B won 1 and Southside Eagles 1, with 1 draw.
| Moreton City Excelsior B | Draw | Southside Eagles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 19% | 19% |
| Market | 62% | 18% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Moreton City Excelsior B (rating 1544 vs 1497).
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Moreton City Excelsior B | Southside Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.8 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moreton City Excelsior B 1–1–1 Southside Eagles
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Southside Eagles | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Moreton City Excelsior B |
| 19/07/24 Australia Queensland Premier League | Southside Eagles | 5-1 HT 4-0 | Moreton City Excelsior B |
| 20/04/24 Australia Queensland Premier League | Moreton City Excelsior B | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Southside Eagles |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grange Thistle | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 19 | 31 |
| 2 | SWQ Thunder | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 16 | 29 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior B | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 28 |
| 4 | Virginia United | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 23 |
| 5 | Pine Hills | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 22 |
| 6 | Caloundra | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 39 | 22 |
| 7 | Souths United | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 29 | 22 |
| 8 | Taringa Rovers | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 30 | 19 |
| 9 | Mitchelton FC | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 34 | 17 |
| 10 | Southside Eagles | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 33 | 17 |
| 11 | Brisbane Knights | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 37 | 16 |
| 12 | Samford Rangers | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 41 | 10 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Moreton City Excelsior B | Southside Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Souths United | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Samford Rangers | 8-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Caloundra | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Pine Hills | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Mitchelton FC | 2-1 W | 5-4 W |
| Brisbane Knights | 8-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Virginia United | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Taringa Rovers | 3-3 D | 3-1 W |
| Grange Thistle | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| SWQ Thunder | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Moreton City Excelsior B (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moreton City Excelsior B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 8-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
5-0 | 8-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
Southside Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/06 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 5-4 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moreton City Excelsior B vs Southside Eagles?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Moreton City Excelsior B win (62%). Probabilities: Moreton City Excelsior B 62%, draw 18%, Southside Eagles 20%.
How many goals are expected in Moreton City Excelsior B vs Southside Eagles?
The model expects 4.15 goals (Moreton City Excelsior B 2.66 · Southside Eagles 1.49), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Moreton City Excelsior B vs Southside Eagles?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.