Prediction: Robina City vs Broadbeach United
Expected goals: 2.89 (Robina City 1.19 · Broadbeach United 1.7). The model gives 27% home, 24% draw, 49% away. Under 3.25 goals (56%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Robina City sits at 6-2-2 (W-D-L), while Broadbeach United arrives on a 8-2-0 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Robina City and 4 for Broadbeach United, with 1 draw.
| Robina City | Draw | Broadbeach United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 26% | 48% |
| Market | 28% | 22% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Broadbeach United (rating 1542 vs 1607).
- H2H favours Broadbeach United: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Robina City | Broadbeach United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 2.4 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6.4 | 3.2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Robina City 1–1–4 Broadbeach United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Australia Queensland Premier League | Broadbeach United | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Robina City |
| 03/09/22 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Broadbeach United | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Robina City |
| 04/06/22 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Broadbeach United | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Robina City |
| 05/06/21 Australia Gold Coast Premier League | Robina City | 1-5 HT 1-2 | Broadbeach United |
| 12/03/21 Australia Gold Coast Premier League | Broadbeach United | 6-1 HT 2-1 | Robina City |
| 12/09/20 Australia Gold Coast Premier League | Robina City | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Broadbeach United |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadbeach United | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 44 |
| 2 | Brisbane Strikers | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 12 | 39 |
| 3 | Ipswich FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 27 |
| 4 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 21 | 26 |
| 5 | Caboolture FC | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 26 |
| 6 | Robina City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 24 |
| 7 | Holland Park Hawks | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 30 | 22 |
| 8 | Redlands United | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 21 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 20 |
| 10 | North Star | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 11 |
| 11 | St George Willawong FC | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 39 | 7 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 7 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Robina City | Broadbeach United |
|---|---|---|
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Capalaba FC | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Logan Lightning | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Holland Park Hawks | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Ipswich FC | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Brisbane Strikers | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| North Star | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Redlands United | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| St George Willawong FC | 4-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 1 L | 8 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Broadbeach United (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Robina City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 23/06 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
4-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/06 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
Broadbeach United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Logan Lightning Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Robina City vs Broadbeach United?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Broadbeach United win (49%). Probabilities: Robina City 27%, draw 24%, Broadbeach United 49%.
How many goals are expected in Robina City vs Broadbeach United?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Robina City 1.19 · Broadbeach United 1.7), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Robina City vs Broadbeach United?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.