Football · Australia NPL Queensland · 03/07, 11:30
Wynnum Wolves vs Rochedale Rovers
Expected goals: 3.83 (Wynnum Wolves 2.38 · Rochedale Rovers 1.45). The model gives 57% home, 21% draw, 22% away. Under 3.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 2-1.
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wynnum Wolves 1493 · Rochedale Rovers 1480
| Wynnum Wolves | Draw | Rochedale Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 21% | 22% |
| Market | 57% | 21% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.83Wynnum Wolves 2.38 · Rochedale Rovers 1.45
Over / Under 3.75Under 3.75 · 52%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wynnum Wolves | Rochedale Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.4 | 2 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.4 | 1.9 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wynnum Wolves 3–0–3 Rochedale Rovers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/26 Australia Cup Qualifying | Wynnum Wolves | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Rochedale Rovers |
| 21/02/26 Australia NPL Queensland | Rochedale Rovers | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Wynnum Wolves |
| 07/06/24 Australia NPL Queensland | Wynnum Wolves | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Rochedale Rovers |
| 09/03/24 Australia NPL Queensland | Rochedale Rovers | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Wynnum Wolves |
| 06/07/21 Australia Queensland Premier League | Wynnum Wolves | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Rochedale Rovers |
| 27/03/21 Australia Queensland Premier League | Rochedale Rovers | 7-0 HT 2-0 | Wynnum Wolves |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peninsula Power | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 19 | 38 |
| 2 | Lions FC | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 35 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 23 | 32 |
| 4 | Eastern Suburbs | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 28 |
| 5 | Gold Coast Knights | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 26 |
| 6 | Brisbane City | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 37 | 38 | 25 |
| 7 | Wynnum Wolves | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 33 | 24 |
| 8 | Brisbane Olympic FC | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 33 | 20 |
| 9 | Rochedale Rovers | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 40 | 14 |
| 10 | Gold Coast United | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 10 |
| 11 | Magic United | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 49 | 10 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar NPL | 16 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 21 | 41 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wynnum Wolves | Rochedale Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Lions FC | 2-6 L | 1-2 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior | 2-2 D | 2-5 L |
| Eastern Suburbs | 1-2 L | 1-6 L |
| Gold Coast United | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Brisbane Olympic FC | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Magic United | 3-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Brisbane City | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Gold Coast Knights | 0-4 L | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Rochedale Rovers (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wynnum Wolves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland |
0-2 | 2-6 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 16/06 | Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/06 | Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Magic United Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/04 | Rochedale Rovers Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-3 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/04 | Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
Rochedale Rovers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/06 | Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland |
0-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/06 | Magic United Australia NPL Queensland |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Gold Coast United Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/04 | Wynnum Wolves Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland |
0-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | D |