Football · Australia NPL Queensland · 05/07, 07:00
Gold Coast United vs Magic United
Expected goals: 3.34 (Gold Coast United 1.99 · Magic United 1.35). The model gives 52% home, 23% draw, 25% away. Under 3.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gold Coast United 1403 · Magic United 1417
| Gold Coast United | Draw | Magic United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 22% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.34Gold Coast United 1.99 · Magic United 1.35
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gold Coast United | Magic United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5 | 1.8 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gold Coast United 1–0–1 Magic United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Australia NPL Queensland | Magic United | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Gold Coast United |
| 25/01/22 Club Friendly List | Magic United | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Gold Coast United |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peninsula Power | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 19 | 38 |
| 2 | Lions FC | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 35 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 23 | 32 |
| 4 | Eastern Suburbs | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 28 |
| 5 | Gold Coast Knights | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 26 |
| 6 | Brisbane City | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 37 | 38 | 25 |
| 7 | Wynnum Wolves | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 33 | 24 |
| 8 | Brisbane Olympic FC | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 33 | 20 |
| 9 | Rochedale Rovers | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 40 | 14 |
| 10 | Gold Coast United | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 10 |
| 11 | Magic United | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 49 | 10 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar NPL | 16 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 21 | 41 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gold Coast United | Magic United |
|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Roar NPL | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Brisbane City | 0-2 L | 3-5 L |
| Wynnum Wolves | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Peninsula Power | 0-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Rochedale Rovers | 4-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Eastern Suburbs | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Lions FC | 0-1 L | 3-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 6 L | 1 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Gold Coast United (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gold Coast United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Moreton City Excelsior Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Wynnum Wolves Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/05 | North Star Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland |
1-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Grange Thistle Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
Magic United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland |
2-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Gold Coast Knights Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Brisbane Roar NPL Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/06 | Rochedale Rovers Australia NPL Queensland |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Lions FC Australia NPL Queensland |
1-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Peninsula Power Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Wynnum Wolves Australia NPL Queensland |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Brisbane Olympic FC Australia NPL Queensland |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Eastern Suburbs Australia NPL Queensland |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Brisbane City Australia NPL Queensland |
2-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |