Prediction: Mount Gravatt Hawks vs North Pine
Expected goals: 3.18 (Mount Gravatt Hawks 1.69 · North Pine 1.49). The model gives 42% home, 24% draw, 34% away. Under 3.5 goals (54%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Mount Gravatt Hawks with 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; North Pine has piled up 3-2-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Mount Gravatt Hawks won 3 and North Pine 1, with 2 draws.
| Mount Gravatt Hawks | Draw | North Pine | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 25% | 33% |
| Market | 43% | 23% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Mount Gravatt Hawks: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mount Gravatt Hawks | North Pine | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.8 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.3 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.9 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mount Gravatt Hawks 3–2–1 North Pine
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | North Pine | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Mount Gravatt Hawks |
| 07/06/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Mount Gravatt Hawks | 3-3 HT 1-2 | North Pine |
| 01/03/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | North Pine | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Mount Gravatt Hawks |
| 20/07/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | North Pine | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Mount Gravatt Hawks |
| 20/04/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Mount Gravatt Hawks | 6-2 HT 3-0 | North Pine |
| 08/07/23 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Mount Gravatt Hawks | 3-1 HT 2-0 | North Pine |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yeronga Eagles FC | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 58 | 22 | 35 |
| 2 | Newmarket | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 23 | 33 |
| 3 | Moggill | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 49 | 24 | 33 |
| 4 | AC Carina | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 49 | 23 | 30 |
| 5 | Springfield United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 34 | 29 |
| 6 | North Lakes United | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 20 |
| 7 | North Brisbane FC | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 51 | 20 |
| 8 | Logan Roos FC | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 46 | 19 |
| 9 | University of Queensland | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 37 | 43 | 18 |
| 10 | Mount Gravatt Hawks | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 40 | 18 |
| 11 | Ipswich Knights | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 43 | 18 |
| 12 | North Pine | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 15 |
| 13 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 26 | 64 | 10 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mount Gravatt Hawks | North Pine |
|---|---|---|
| Springfield United | 2-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Redcliffe Dolphins SC | 4-2 W | 4-1 W |
| Moggill | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Yeronga Eagles FC | 0-6 L | 0-3 L |
| North Lakes United | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Ipswich Knights | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| North Brisbane FC | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| AC Carina | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| University of Queensland | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: North Pine (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mount Gravatt Hawks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Springfield United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
3-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Moggill Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/06 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-4 | 0-6 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Newmarket Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-2 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | North Lakes United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | North Brisbane FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 08/05 | AC Carina Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 10 | L |
| 18/04 | University of Queensland Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
North Pine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Moggill Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | North Lakes United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | North Brisbane FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | AC Carina Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Springfield United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Logan Roos FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | University of Queensland Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 17/04 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mount Gravatt Hawks vs North Pine?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mount Gravatt Hawks win (42%). Probabilities: Mount Gravatt Hawks 42%, draw 24%, North Pine 34%.
How many goals are expected in Mount Gravatt Hawks vs North Pine?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Mount Gravatt Hawks 1.69 · North Pine 1.49), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Mount Gravatt Hawks vs North Pine?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.