Prediction: North Lakes United vs North Brisbane FC
Expected goals: 4.39 (North Lakes United 3.1 · North Brisbane FC 1.29). The model gives 73% home, 14% draw, 13% away. Under 4.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 3-1.
Over its last 10 matches, North Lakes United sits at 5-1-4 (W-D-L), while North Brisbane FC arrives on a 4-1-5 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, North Lakes United won 1 and North Brisbane FC 0.
| North Lakes United | Draw | North Brisbane FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| Market | 73% | 14% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours North Lakes United (rating 1518 vs 1460).
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| North Lakes United | North Brisbane FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.3 | 1.4 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.8 | 1.2 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · North Lakes United 1–0–0 North Brisbane FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | North Brisbane FC | 2-4 HT 2-1 | North Lakes United |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yeronga Eagles FC | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 58 | 22 | 35 |
| 2 | Newmarket | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 23 | 33 |
| 3 | Moggill | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 49 | 24 | 33 |
| 4 | AC Carina | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 49 | 23 | 30 |
| 5 | Springfield United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 34 | 29 |
| 6 | North Lakes United | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 20 |
| 7 | North Brisbane FC | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 51 | 20 |
| 8 | Logan Roos FC | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 46 | 19 |
| 9 | University of Queensland | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 37 | 43 | 18 |
| 10 | Mount Gravatt Hawks | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 40 | 18 |
| 11 | Ipswich Knights | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 43 | 18 |
| 12 | North Pine | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 15 |
| 13 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 26 | 64 | 10 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | North Lakes United | North Brisbane FC |
|---|---|---|
| Springfield United | 5-1 W | 0-4 L |
| University of Queensland | 1-1 D | 4-2 W |
| North Pine | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Mount Gravatt Hawks | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Moggill | 0-4 L | 0-7 L |
| Yeronga Eagles FC | 1-3 L | 0-6 L |
| Redcliffe Dolphins SC | 4-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Ipswich Knights | 6-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: North Lakes United (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
North Lakes United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | AC Carina Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-3 | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Springfield United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/06 | University of Queensland Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/06 | North Pine Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Mount Gravatt Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Moggill Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
4-1 | 4-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
4-0 | 6-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/04 | University of Queensland Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
North Brisbane FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 17/06 | Springfield United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Logan Roos FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | University of Queensland Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-2 | 4-2 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | North Pine Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Mount Gravatt Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Moggill Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-5 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-3 | 0-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Newmarket Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in North Lakes United vs North Brisbane FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a North Lakes United win (73%). Probabilities: North Lakes United 73%, draw 14%, North Brisbane FC 13%.
How many goals are expected in North Lakes United vs North Brisbane FC?
The model expects 4.39 goals (North Lakes United 3.1 · North Brisbane FC 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in North Lakes United vs North Brisbane FC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.