Football · South Korea K League 1 · 04/07, 12:30
Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Bucheon
Expected goals: 2.04 (Daejeon Hana Citizen 1.34 · Bucheon 0.7). The model gives 52% home, 29% draw, 19% away. Under 2.25 goals (54%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-0.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daejeon Hana Citizen 1470 · Bucheon 1478
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | Draw | Bucheon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 31% | 18% |
| Market | 53% | 27% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.04Daejeon Hana Citizen 1.34 · Bucheon 0.7
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 54%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | Bucheon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.2 | 1.1 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daejeon Hana Citizen 2–2–2 Bucheon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 South Korea K League 1 | Bucheon | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Daejeon Hana Citizen |
| 27/08/22 South Korea K League 2 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Bucheon |
| 02/07/22 South Korea K League 2 | Bucheon | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Daejeon Hana Citizen |
| 21/05/22 South Korea K League 2 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Bucheon |
| 02/04/22 South Korea K League 2 | Bucheon | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Daejeon Hana Citizen |
| 03/10/21 South Korea K League 2 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Bucheon |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 32 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 26 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Pohang Steelers | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Incheon Utd | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Anyang | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 20 |
| 8 | Jeju United | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Bucheon | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 17 |
| 10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 14 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 37 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Daejeon Hana Citizen | Bucheon |
|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Pohang Steelers | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Incheon Utd | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Gwangju FC | 5-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Ulsan HD | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Jeju United | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Daejeon Hana Citizen (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daejeon Hana Citizen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/05 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
Bucheon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 05/05 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 21/04 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |