Prediction: South Coast Flame FC vs Central Coast United FC
Expected goals: 2.85 (South Coast Flame FC 1.13 · Central Coast United FC 1.72). The model gives 25% home, 24% draw, 51% away. Under 3.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, South Coast Flame FC sits at 2-4-4 (W-D-L), while Central Coast United FC arrives on a 7-2-1 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, South Coast Flame FC won 3 and Central Coast United FC 0, with 2 draws.
| South Coast Flame FC | Draw | Central Coast United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 26% | 50% |
| Market | 26% | 22% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Central Coast United FC (rating 1475 vs 1571).
- H2H favours South Coast Flame FC: 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| South Coast Flame FC | Central Coast United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 2.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.8 | 2.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · South Coast Flame FC 3–2–0 Central Coast United FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Central Coast United FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | South Coast Flame FC |
| 05/07/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | South Coast Flame FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Central Coast United FC |
| 22/03/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Central Coast United FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | South Coast Flame FC |
| 06/07/24 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Central Coast United FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | South Coast Flame FC |
| 30/03/24 Australia New South Wales League 2 | South Coast Flame FC | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Central Coast United FC |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mounties Wanderers | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 64 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Parramatta Eagles | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 33 |
| 3 | Hawkesbury City SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 43 | 30 |
| 4 | Fraser Park | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 22 | 30 |
| 5 | Dunbar Rovers FC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 30 |
| 6 | Central Coast United FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 29 |
| 7 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 29 |
| 8 | Western Rage | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 45 | 28 |
| 9 | Sydney University | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 27 |
| 10 | Nepean FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 41 | 27 |
| 11 | Gladesville Ryde Magic | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 46 | 25 |
| 12 | South Coast Flame FC | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 27 | 24 |
| 13 | Inner West Hawks | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 29 | 34 | 22 |
| 14 | Bankstown United FC | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 20 |
| 15 | Camden Tigers SC | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 54 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | South Coast Flame FC | Central Coast United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Camden Tigers SC | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Hawkesbury City SC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Nepean FC | 1-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Mounties Wanderers | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Gladesville Ryde Magic | 1-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Western Rage | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Parramatta Eagles | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Fraser Park | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 2 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Central Coast United FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
South Coast Flame FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Central Coast United FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/06 | Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/05 | Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/04 | Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in South Coast Flame FC vs Central Coast United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Central Coast United FC win (51%). Probabilities: South Coast Flame FC 25%, draw 24%, Central Coast United FC 51%.
How many goals are expected in South Coast Flame FC vs Central Coast United FC?
The model expects 2.85 goals (South Coast Flame FC 1.13 · Central Coast United FC 1.72), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in South Coast Flame FC vs Central Coast United FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.