Football · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 03/07, 12:00
Sydney University vs Bankstown United FC
Expected goals: 3.02 (Sydney University 1.81 · Bankstown United FC 1.2). The model gives 51% home, 24% draw, 25% away. Under 3.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sydney University 1485 · Bankstown United FC 1441
| Sydney University | Draw | Bankstown United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Market | 52% | 22% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.02Sydney University 1.81 · Bankstown United FC 1.2
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 55%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sydney University (rating 1485 vs 1441).
- H2H favours Bankstown United FC: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sydney University | Bankstown United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.1 | 2.2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney University 1–3–2 Bankstown United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Bankstown United FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Sydney University |
| 05/07/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Sydney University | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Bankstown United FC |
| 22/03/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Bankstown United FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sydney University |
| 19/05/23 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Bankstown United FC | 3-3 HT 0-1 | Sydney University |
| 22/04/22 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Sydney University | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Bankstown United FC |
| 23/03/22 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | Bankstown United FC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Sydney University |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mounties Wanderers | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 64 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Parramatta Eagles | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 33 |
| 3 | Hawkesbury City SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 43 | 30 |
| 4 | Fraser Park | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 22 | 30 |
| 5 | Dunbar Rovers FC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 30 |
| 6 | Central Coast United FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 29 |
| 7 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 29 |
| 8 | Western Rage | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 45 | 28 |
| 9 | Sydney University | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 27 |
| 10 | Nepean FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 41 | 27 |
| 11 | Gladesville Ryde Magic | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 46 | 25 |
| 12 | South Coast Flame FC | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 27 | 24 |
| 13 | Inner West Hawks | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 29 | 34 | 22 |
| 14 | Bankstown United FC | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 20 |
| 15 | Camden Tigers SC | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 54 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sydney University | Bankstown United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Fraser Park | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Inner West Hawks | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Parramatta Eagles | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Gladesville Ryde Magic | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Dunbar Rovers FC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Nepean FC | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Sydney University (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sydney University
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/06 | Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 13/06 | Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/05 | Apia L Tigers Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/04 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Bankstown United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 05/05 | Fraser Park Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |