Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 03/07, 12:00
Hurstville FC vs Canterbury Bankstown FC
Expected goals: 3.93 (Hurstville FC 1.9 · Canterbury Bankstown FC 2.03). The model gives 36% home, 23% draw, 41% away. Over 3.25 goals (54%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-1.
41%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hurstville FC 1504 · Canterbury Bankstown FC 1556
| Hurstville FC | Draw | Canterbury Bankstown FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 22% | 41% |
| Market | 36% | 24% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.93 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.93Hurstville FC 1.9 · Canterbury Bankstown FC 2.03
Over / Under 3.25Over 3.25 · 54%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canterbury Bankstown FC (rating 1504 vs 1556).
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hurstville FC | Canterbury Bankstown FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 3.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 3.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hurstville FC 1–0–1 Canterbury Bankstown FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 2-4 HT 2-1 | Hurstville FC |
| 29/03/21 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | Hurstville FC | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Canterbury Bankstown FC |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 49 | 28 | 44 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 34 | 38 |
| 4 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 52 | 35 | 35 |
| 5 | Macarthur Rams | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 21 | 35 |
| 6 | Hills United FC | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 34 | 32 |
| 7 | Bulls FC Academy | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 28 | 30 |
| 8 | Rydalmere Lions FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 33 | 28 |
| 9 | Hakoah Sydney City East | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 36 | 28 |
| 10 | Central Coast Mariners U21 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 41 | 27 |
| 11 | Hurstville FC | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 35 | 26 |
| 12 | Inter Lions | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 37 | 24 |
| 13 | Newcastle Jets NPL | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 43 | 22 |
| 14 | Dulwich Hill | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 37 | 22 |
| 15 | Prospect United | 21 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 38 | 17 |
| 16 | Western City Rangers | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 43 | 13 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hurstville FC | Canterbury Bankstown FC |
|---|---|---|
| Hills United FC | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Bulls FC Academy | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Western City Rangers | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Inter Lions | 1-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Rydalmere Lions FC | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Newcastle Jets NPL | 1-0 W | 6-5 W |
| Central Coast Mariners U21 | 1-2 L | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Canterbury Bankstown FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hurstville FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 24/04 | Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
Canterbury Bankstown FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1 |
3-2 | 6-5 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-0 | 5-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |