Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 05/07, 07:00
Wollongong Wolves vs St George City FA
Expected goals: 2.01 (Wollongong Wolves 1.08 · St George City FA 0.93). The model gives 39% home, 30% draw, 31% away. Under 2.25 goals (54%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
39%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wollongong Wolves 1482 · St George City FA 1480
| Wollongong Wolves | Draw | St George City FA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 33% | 29% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.01Wollongong Wolves 1.08 · St George City FA 0.93
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 54%
BTTSNo · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Wollongong Wolves: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wollongong Wolves | St George City FA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.4 | 0.7 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 1.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wollongong Wolves 4–2–0 St George City FA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George City FA | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Wollongong Wolves |
| 31/05/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George City FA | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Wollongong Wolves |
| 19/02/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Wollongong Wolves | 3-0 HT 1-0 | St George City FA |
| 14/02/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Wollongong Wolves | 3-0 HT 1-0 | St George City FA |
| 08/06/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George City FA | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Wollongong Wolves |
| 03/03/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Wollongong Wolves | 1-1 HT 0-0 | St George City FA |
Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marconi Stallions | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 14 | 49 |
| 2 | Apia L Tigers | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 23 | 48 |
| 3 | Sydney United 58 | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 30 | 35 |
| 5 | Sydney FC U21 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 34 |
| 6 | Sutherland Sharks | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 26 | 32 |
| 7 | Wollongong Wolves | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 23 | 31 |
| 8 | NWS Spirit FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 25 | 27 |
| 9 | SD Raiders | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 35 | 26 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 30 | 26 |
| 11 | Manly Utd | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 24 |
| 12 | St George City FA | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 32 | 24 |
| 13 | University NSW | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 22 |
| 14 | St George Saints | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 34 | 19 |
| 15 | Blacktown City | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 38 | 18 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 45 | 15 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wollongong Wolves | St George City FA |
|---|---|---|
| NWS Spirit FC | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Apia L Tigers | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| St George Saints | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Manly Utd | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wollongong Wolves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 16/05 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 26/04 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
St George City FA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 20/06 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | SD Raiders Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 09/05 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | Blacktown City Australia Cup Qualifying |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |