Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 03/07, 17:30

KTP vs Jippo

Expected goals: 2.15 (KTP 1.31 · Jippo 0.85). The model gives 47% home, 29% draw, 24% away. Under 2.25 goals (51%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

47%1

47% 29% 24%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KTP 1585 · Jippo 1512

	KTP	Draw	Jippo
Our model	46%	31%	23%
Market	48%	28%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals2.15KTP 1.31 · Jippo 0.85

Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 51%

BTTSNo · 51%

Most likely total2 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KTP (rating 1585 vs 1512).
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KTP	Jippo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 7.3	2.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.30

23.70

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.75

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 1.91 → 1.91 – 0%

X 3.30 → 3.30 – 0%

2 3.70 → 3.70 – 0%

Over/Under 2.25

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Both teams to score

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KTP 2–2–2 Jippo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Finland Ykkosliiga	Jippo	0-0 HT 0-0	KTP
21/02/26 Finland Ykkoscup	Jippo	1-2 HT 1-0	KTP
07/05/25 Finland Cup	Jippo	1-1 HT 1-0	KTP
31/08/24 Finland Ykkosliiga	Jippo	3-2 HT 2-2	KTP
12/06/24 Finland Ykkosliiga	KTP	2-1 HT 2-0	Jippo
20/04/24 Finland Ykkosliiga	Jippo	1-0 HT 1-0	KTP

Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KTP	12	9	1	2	18	10	28
2	PK-35	12	7	3	2	18	7	24
3	FC Haka	12	6	3	3	20	12	21
4	Jippo	12	5	5	2	14	7	20
5	Ekenäs IF	12	5	1	6	20	23	16
6	JaPS	12	5	1	6	11	19	16
7	KaPa	12	4	3	5	14	17	15
8	MP	12	4	1	7	10	14	13
9	Klubi-04	12	1	5	6	10	14	8
10	SJK II	12	1	3	8	4	16	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KTP	Jippo
FC Haka	2-0 W	1-2 L
Ekenäs IF	5-1 W	1-1 D
KaPa	2-1 W	3-0 W
SJK II	1-0 W	0-0 D
Klubi-04	1-0 W	1-1 D
PK-35	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: KTP (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KTP

WLWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
12/06	Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga	2-1	5-1	10	5	W
08/06	FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	0-2	7	9	L
05/06	KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga	1-1	2-1	13	5	W
29/05	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	1-0	10	2	W
23/05	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
16/05	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
09/05	KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
03/05	Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga	1-2	2-5	12	4	L
24/04	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-0	4	6	W

Jippo

DWWDWLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
13/06	KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga	2-0	3-0	2	5	W
09/06	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
29/05	FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
23/05	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
17/05	MP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	3-1	4	3	W
09/05	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
02/05	KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga	2-0	2-0	8	6	W
25/04	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
18/04	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D