Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 04/07, 15:00

Ekenäs IF vs PK-35

Expected goals: 2.85 (Ekenäs IF 1.28 · PK-35 1.57). The model gives 30% home, 28% draw, 43% away. Over 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

43%2

30% 28% 43%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ekenäs IF 1505 · PK-35 1561

	Ekenäs IF	Draw	PK-35
Our model	30%	27%	43%
Market	29%	28%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals2.85Ekenäs IF 1.28 · PK-35 1.57

Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53%

BTTSYes · 55%

Most likely total2 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PK-35 (rating 1505 vs 1561).
H2H favours Ekenäs IF: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ekenäs IF	PK-35
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.7	2.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	3.7 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.25

22.15

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.83

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 3.10 → 3.10 – 0%

X 3.25 → 3.25 – 0%

2 2.15 → 2.15 – 0%

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekenäs IF 3–1–2 PK-35

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Finland Ykkosliiga	PK-35	4-2 HT 2-1	Ekenäs IF
31/01/26 Finland Ykkoscup	PK-35	2-0 HT 2-0	Ekenäs IF
03/10/25 Finland Ykkosliiga	PK-35	1-2 HT 0-0	Ekenäs IF
27/06/25 Finland Ykkosliiga	Ekenäs IF	2-0 HT 1-0	PK-35
02/05/25 Finland Ykkosliiga	PK-35	1-2 HT 1-2	Ekenäs IF
01/02/25 Finland Ykkoscup	Ekenäs IF	1-1 HT 1-0	PK-35

Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KTP	12	9	1	2	18	10	28
2	PK-35	12	7	3	2	18	7	24
3	FC Haka	12	6	3	3	20	12	21
4	Jippo	12	5	5	2	14	7	20
5	Ekenäs IF	12	5	1	6	20	23	16
6	JaPS	12	5	1	6	11	19	16
7	KaPa	12	4	3	5	14	17	15
8	MP	12	4	1	7	10	14	13
9	Klubi-04	12	1	5	6	10	14	8
10	SJK II	12	1	3	8	4	16	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ekenäs IF	PK-35
Jippo	1-1 D	1-0 W
MP	1-0 W	2-1 W
KaPa	1-0 W	0-0 D
JaPS	0-3 L	5-0 W
Klubi-04	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Ekenäs IF

WLWLWWLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
12/06	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	1-2	1-5	6	5	L
06/06	MP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
31/05	MP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
23/05	KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
17/05	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
08/05	FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga	1-2	3-4	6	6	L
03/05	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	2-1	5-2	5	4	W
25/04	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	0-2	0-3	5	2	L
19/04	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	2-1	4	4	W

PK-35

WLWLDWWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/06	MP Finland Ykkosliiga	1-1	2-1	12	4	W
12/06	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	5-0	5	0	W
31/05	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
27/05	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
23/05	Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
17/05	KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
12/05	KuPS Kuopio Finland Cup	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
07/05	MP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	3-1	11	3	W
02/05	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
27/04	StaPa De Royale Finland Cup	5-0	8-1	7	2	W