Football · USA USL League One · 02/07, 01:00

Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Westchester SC

Expected goals: 3.09 (Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.96 · Westchester SC 1.13). The model gives 56% home, 24% draw, 21% away. Under 3 goals (52%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

56%1

56% 24% 21%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1525 · Westchester SC 1446

	Chattanooga Red Wolves	Draw	Westchester SC
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	56%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals3.09Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.96 · Westchester SC 1.13

Over / Under 3Under 3 · 52%

BTTSYes · 55%

Most likely total3 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chattanooga Red Wolves (rating 1525 vs 1446).
H2H favours Chattanooga Red Wolves: 2-0-0.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chattanooga Red Wolves	Westchester SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.8	1.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.80

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 1.60 → 1.60 – 0%

X 3.80 → 3.80 – 0%

2 4.33 → 4.33 – 0%

Over/Under 3

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–0–0 Westchester SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/10/25 USA USL League One	Chattanooga Red Wolves	2-1 HT 1-1	Westchester SC
02/08/25 USA USL League One	Westchester SC	1-3 HT 0-1	Chattanooga Red Wolves

Standings · USA USL League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Omaha	15	9	1	5	22	17	28
2	One Knoxville SC	13	8	3	2	24	11	27
3	Charlotte Independence	12	8	2	2	31	16	26
4	Antelope Valley Alta	14	6	6	2	21	14	24
5	Spokane Velocity FC	13	7	2	4	17	17	23
6	AC Boise	14	6	3	5	21	21	21
7	Fort Wayne FC	13	5	6	2	17	12	21
8	Forward Madison FC	12	6	2	4	21	14	20
9	FC Naples	15	5	2	8	16	23	17
10	Portland Hearts of Pine	14	4	5	5	21	22	17
11	Chattanooga Red Wolves	10	5	1	4	19	13	16
12	Sarasota Paradise	16	5	1	10	17	28	16
13	Corpus Christi FC	14	3	6	5	17	23	15
14	Westchester SC	13	4	2	7	23	20	14
15	Richmond Kickers	13	3	2	8	12	24	11
16	Greenville Triumph SC	11	3	1	7	11	21	10
17	New York Cosmos	12	2	1	9	16	30	7

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chattanooga Red Wolves	Westchester SC
FC Naples	1-0 W	0-1 L
Portland Hearts of Pine	2-1 W	5-1 W
Richmond Kickers	5-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Chattanooga Red Wolves (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Chattanooga Red Wolves

LLWDLWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/06	FC Naples USA USL League One	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
14/06	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
11/06	One Knoxville SC USA USL Cup	0-0	1-1	9	4	D
31/05	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	2-2	2-3	8	7	L
28/05	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	2-0	5-0	7	6	W
24/05	Union Omaha USA USL League One	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
17/05	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Cup	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
09/05	Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One	2-1	4-1	8	1	W
03/05	AC Boise USA USL League One	0-2	1-2	5	3	L
26/04	Corpus Christi FC USA USL Cup	0-1	0-1	11	6	L

Westchester SC

DLLLLLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/06	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	1-1	1-2	3	1	L
20/06	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	2-0	5-1	2	3	W
15/06	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	3-0	4-0	1	4	W
11/06	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
07/06	Rhode Island FC USA USL Cup	0-2	0-3	1	0	L
24/05	FC Naples USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
16/05	New York Cosmos USA USL Cup	0-1	2-3	5	5	L
10/05	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
02/05	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	10	10	L
26/04	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL Cup	1-1	2-2	4	6	D