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Football · USA USL League One · 02/07, 04:30

Union Omaha vs Antelope Valley Alta

Expected goals: 2.58 (Union Omaha 1.64 · Antelope Valley Alta 0.94). The model gives 54% home, 25% draw, 21% away. Over 2.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

54%1
54% 25% 21%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Omaha 1521 · Antelope Valley Alta 1545
Union OmahaDrawAntelope Valley Alta
Our model53%27%20%
Market54%24%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals2.58Union Omaha 1.64 · Antelope Valley Alta 0.94
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Union Omaha: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Union OmahaAntelope Valley Alta
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.71.6 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/70/30%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 5.40.6 / 1.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.14.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Omaha 2–0–1 Antelope Valley Alta

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/04/26
USA USL League One
Antelope Valley Alta1-3
HT 0-2
Union Omaha
24/08/25
USA USL League One
Union Omaha2-0
HT 1-0
Antelope Valley Alta
06/07/25
USA USL League One
Antelope Valley Alta2-1
HT 1-1
Union Omaha

Standings · USA USL League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Union Omaha 15915 221728
2 One Knoxville SC 13832 241127
3 Charlotte Independence 12822 311626
4 Antelope Valley Alta 14662 211424
5 Spokane Velocity FC 13724 171723
6 AC Boise 14635 212121
7 Fort Wayne FC 13562 171221
8 Forward Madison FC 12624 211420
9 FC Naples 15528 162317
10 Portland Hearts of Pine 14455 212217
11 Chattanooga Red Wolves 10514 191316
12 Sarasota Paradise 165110 172816
13 Corpus Christi FC 14365 172315
14 Westchester SC 13427 232014
15 Richmond Kickers 13328 122411
16 Greenville Triumph SC 11317 112110
17 New York Cosmos 12219 16307

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUnion OmahaAntelope Valley Alta
Sarasota Paradise 0-2 L 3-1 W
Fort Wayne FC 4-2 W 0-0 D
New York Cosmos 2-1 W 4-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Antelope Valley Alta (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Omaha

DWLWWWWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 AC Boise
USA USL League One
 0-0 0-1 65 L
14/06 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
 0-0 0-2 76 L
11/06 Charlotte Independence
USA USL League One
 0-1 0-2 35 L
07/06 Fort Wayne FC
USA USL Cup
 2-2 4-2 43 W
31/05 FC Naples
USA USL League One
 0-1 2-1 84 W
28/05 New York Cosmos
USA USL League One
 0-0 2-1 76 W
24/05 Chattanooga Red Wolves
USA USL League One
 0-0 2-0 62 W
17/05 Louisville City FC
USA USL Cup
 1-1 1-5 25 L
14/05 One Knoxville SC
USA USL League One
 1-1 2-1 15 W
10/05 Portland Hearts of Pine
USA USL League One
 0-2 2-2 105 D

Antelope Valley Alta

WWWLDWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/06 Corpus Christi FC
USA USL League One
 0-0 0-0 25 D
21/06 Greenville Triumph SC
USA USL League One
 0-1 2-1 22 W
14/06 Spokane Velocity FC
USA USL League One
 0-0 1-0 35 W
11/06 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
 2-0 3-1 13 W
07/06 Orange County SC
USA USL Cup
 1-1 2-1 04 W
31/05 Fort Wayne FC
USA USL League One
 0-0 0-0 37 D
28/05 El Paso Locomotive FC
USA USL Cup
 0-0 0-2 45 L
24/05 New York Cosmos
USA USL League One
 2-0 4-0 15 W
17/05 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
 1-0 2-1 14 W
10/05 Forward Madison FC
USA USL League One
 2-0 2-0 27 W