Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 30/06, 20:00

CA Claypole vs Canuelas FC

Expected goals: 1.9 (CA Claypole 0.95 · Canuelas FC 0.95). The model gives 33% home, 34% draw, 33% away. Over 1.5 goals (54%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-0.

33%1

33% 34% 33%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Claypole 1487 · Canuelas FC 1552

	CA Claypole	Draw	Canuelas FC
Our model	33%	35%	33%
Market	33%	34%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 1.9 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals1.9CA Claypole 0.95 · Canuelas FC 0.95

Over / Under 1.5Over 1.5 · 54%

BTTSNo · 53%

Most likely total1 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canuelas FC (rating 1487 vs 1552).
Cards-heavy: 12.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Claypole	Canuelas FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.3	1.3 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.7	1.3 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.7 / 0	5.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.70

X2.63

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 1.51.85

Under 1.51.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 2.70 → 2.70 – 0%

X 2.63 → 2.63 – 0%

2 2.70 → 2.70 – 0%

Over/Under 1.5

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Both teams to score

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Claypole 1–1–1 Canuelas FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Canuelas FC	2-1 HT 1-0	CA Claypole
19/10/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	CA Claypole	1-1 HT 0-0	Canuelas FC
11/10/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Canuelas FC	1-2 HT 0-1	CA Claypole

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Canuelas FC	17	7	8	2	21	12	29
2	Lujan	17	8	5	4	20	13	29
3	Leones de Rosario	17	7	7	3	18	15	28
4	General Lamadrid	17	7	5	5	17	16	26
5	Sportivo Barracas	17	7	4	6	17	13	25
6	Yupanqui	17	6	6	5	20	17	24
7	Deportivo Espanol	17	5	9	3	15	12	24
8	El Porvenir	17	4	11	2	14	12	23
9	CA Claypole	17	5	5	7	13	20	20
10	Central Cordoba de Rosario	17	4	7	6	12	14	19
11	CA Atlas	17	4	7	6	13	16	19
12	Central Ballester	17	4	4	9	14	21	16
13	Deportivo Muniz	17	2	8	7	12	16	14
14	Fenix	17	3	5	9	9	18	14

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Claypole	Canuelas FC
Central Ballester	0-0 D	1-0 W
El Porvenir	1-2 L	0-0 D
Fenix	2-0 W	2-0 W
Sportivo Barracas	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Canuelas FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Claypole

WDWLDLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/06	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	8	7	W
06/06	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
30/05	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	2-2	4	6	D
22/05	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-4	8	5	L
17/05	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	6	8	L
09/05	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
03/05	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	6	8	L
26/04	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	2	8	W
18/04	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
12/04	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	7	7	W

Canuelas FC

WWDDLDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/06	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
07/06	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
01/06	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
23/05	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	3-0	3-1	5	7	W
17/05	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-2	0	4	D
10/05	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
02/05	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
25/04	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	9	D
19/04	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	2	8	W
11/04	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	2	12	W