Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 30/06, 20:00
Central Ballester vs CA Atlas
Expected goals: 1.69 (Central Ballester 0.82 · CA Atlas 0.87). The model gives 31% home, 35% draw, 34% away. Over 1.5 goals (51%) and not both to score (55%). Most likely score: 0-0.
34%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Central Ballester 1466 · CA Atlas 1481
| Central Ballester | Draw | CA Atlas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 37% | 33% |
| Market | 32% | 33% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.69 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.69Central Ballester 0.82 · CA Atlas 0.87
Over / Under 1.5Over 1.5 · 51%
BTTSNo · 55%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CA Atlas: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Central Ballester | CA Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.5 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.5 | 6.2 / 1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Ballester 2–1–3 CA Atlas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Atlas | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Central Ballester |
| 13/07/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Central Ballester | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Atlas |
| 29/03/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Atlas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Central Ballester |
| 17/08/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Central Ballester | 0-2 HT 0-2 | CA Atlas |
| 17/03/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Atlas | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Central Ballester |
| 16/03/20 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana | Central Ballester | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Atlas |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canuelas FC | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 29 |
| 2 | Lujan | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 28 |
| 4 | General Lamadrid | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 26 |
| 5 | Sportivo Barracas | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 13 | 25 |
| 6 | Yupanqui | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 24 |
| 7 | Deportivo Espanol | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 24 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 23 |
| 9 | CA Claypole | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 20 |
| 10 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 19 |
| 11 | CA Atlas | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 19 |
| 12 | Central Ballester | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 16 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 14 |
| 14 | Fenix | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 14 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Central Ballester | CA Atlas |
|---|---|---|
| Canuelas FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Yupanqui | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| El Porvenir | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Fenix | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Atlas (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Central Ballester
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 27/04 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
CA Atlas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 06/06 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/06 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 16/05 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 08/05 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 11/04 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 12 | L |