Football · Norway Division 1 · 04/07, 18:00

Bryne vs Sandnes Ulf

Expected goals: 2.97 (Bryne 1.71 · Sandnes Ulf 1.26). The model gives 47% home, 25% draw, 28% away. Under 3 goals (53%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.

47%1

47% 25% 28%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bryne 1515 · Sandnes Ulf 1516

	Bryne	Draw	Sandnes Ulf
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	48%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals2.97Bryne 1.71 · Sandnes Ulf 1.26

Over / Under 3Under 3 · 53%

BTTSYes · 56%

Most likely total2 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sandnes Ulf: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bryne	Sandnes Ulf
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.4	3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.75

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 1.90 → 1.90 – 0%

X 3.75 → 3.75 – 0%

2 3.25 → 3.25 – 0%

Over/Under 3

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Both teams to score

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bryne 2–1–3 Sandnes Ulf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/25 Europe Friendlies	Bryne	0-3 HT 0-2	Sandnes Ulf
27/07/24 Norway Division 1	Bryne	1-1 HT 1-1	Sandnes Ulf
16/05/24 Norway Division 1	Sandnes Ulf	2-1 HT 1-0	Bryne
23/03/24 Europe Friendlies	Sandnes Ulf	0-2 HT 0-1	Bryne
03/09/23 Norway Division 1	Bryne	3-0 HT 3-0	Sandnes Ulf
20/05/23 Norway Division 1	Sandnes Ulf	2-0 HT 0-0	Bryne

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stromsgodset	13	8	4	1	38	18	28
2	Haugesund	13	9	1	3	40	25	28
3	Kongsvinger	13	8	3	2	31	20	27
4	Stabaek	13	7	3	3	27	14	24
5	Odd BK	13	7	3	3	26	16	24
6	Ranheim	13	6	2	5	32	29	20
7	Sandnes Ulf	13	6	1	6	21	19	19
8	Hodd	13	5	3	5	18	16	18
9	Moss	13	5	2	6	23	29	17
10	Egersund	13	5	1	7	21	25	16
11	Bryne	13	5	1	7	18	22	16
12	Sogndal	13	4	3	6	24	31	15
13	Asane	13	4	1	8	18	24	12
14	Strommen	13	3	2	8	18	35	11
15	Raufoss	13	3	1	9	16	31	10
16	Lyn 1896	13	3	1	9	11	28	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bryne	Sandnes Ulf
Stabaek	0-2 L	0-1 L
Asane	1-0 W	0-2 L
Stromsgodset	0-1 L	1-1 D
Raufoss	0-3 L	3-0 W
Strommen	4-2 W	2-0 W
Moss	3-2 W	4-1 W
Sogndal	3-3 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sandnes Ulf (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bryne

LDWWLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-2	0-2	3	1	L
21/06	Asane Norway Division 1	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
14/06	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-0	3-0	7	4	W
31/05	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
25/05	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
20/05	Raufoss Norway Division 1	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
16/05	Strommen Norway Division 1	2-1	4-2	7	5	W
10/05	Moss Norway Division 1	3-0	3-2	3	6	W
01/05	Sogndal Norway Division 1	1-0	3-3	5	3	D
25/04	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-0	1-2	2	4	L

Sandnes Ulf

DLLWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Raufoss Norway Division 1	0-0	3-0	5	3	W
21/06	Moss Norway Division 1	1-0	4-1	4	5	W
14/06	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	7	0	W
31/05	Ranheim Norway Division 1	0-3	1-5	6	2	L
25/05	Sogndal Norway Division 1	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
20/05	Asane Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	8	8	L
15/05	Egersund Norway Division 1	2-0	4-2	2	5	W
10/05	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-1	0-1	9	6	L
01/05	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
26/04	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-0	1-1	6	2	D