Football · Norway Division 1 · 03/07, 18:00
Raufoss vs Strommen
Expected goals: 3.38 (Raufoss 1.71 · Strommen 1.67). The model gives 38% home, 25% draw, 37% away. Under 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
38%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raufoss 1468 · Strommen 1431
| Raufoss | Draw | Strommen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 25% | 37% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.38Raufoss 1.71 · Strommen 1.67
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 52%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Raufoss | Strommen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.2 | 1.1 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.8 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raufoss 2–2–2 Strommen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Europe Friendlies | Raufoss | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Strommen |
| 24/04/25 Norway Cup | Strommen | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Raufoss |
| 25/01/25 Europe Friendlies | Raufoss | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Strommen |
| 06/11/21 Norway Division 1 | Raufoss | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Strommen |
| 15/05/21 Norway Division 1 | Strommen | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Raufoss |
| 24/10/20 Norway Division 1 | Strommen | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Raufoss |
Standings · Norway Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stromsgodset | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 38 | 18 | 28 |
| 2 | Haugesund | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 25 | 28 |
| 3 | Kongsvinger | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 20 | 27 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Odd BK | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 24 |
| 6 | Ranheim | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 29 | 20 |
| 7 | Sandnes Ulf | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 19 |
| 8 | Hodd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Moss | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 17 |
| 10 | Egersund | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 16 |
| 11 | Bryne | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 22 | 16 |
| 12 | Sogndal | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 15 |
| 13 | Asane | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 12 |
| 14 | Strommen | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 11 |
| 15 | Raufoss | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 10 |
| 16 | Lyn 1896 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Raufoss | Strommen |
|---|---|---|
| Sandnes Ulf | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Sogndal | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Stromsgodset | 1-6 L | 0-3 L |
| Haugesund | 3-4 L | 0-7 L |
| Bryne | 3-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Stabaek | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Lyn 1896 | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Raufoss (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raufoss
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Stromsgodset Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Haugesund Norway Division 1 |
0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Asane Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 20/05 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 01/05 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Strommen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 25/05 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/05 | Haugesund Norway Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-7 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Stromsgodset Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |