Fútbol · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 3/7, 20:45
Derry City vs Waterford FC
Se esperan 3,42 goles (Derry City 2,38 · Waterford FC 1,04). El modelo da 66% al 1, 21% a la X y 14% al 2. Más de 2,5 goles (58%) y ambos marcan (56%). Marcador más probable: 2-1.
66%1
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Derry City 1523 · Waterford FC 1468
| Derry City | Empate | Waterford FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| Mercado | 65% | 21% | 13% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
3.42 goles · línea Bet365 2.5 · +0.9
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado. Las apuestas de valor marcan dónde la cuota cubre con margen la probabilidad del modelo (valor).
Análisis del modelo
Goles esperados3,42Derry City 2,38 · Waterford FC 1,04
Más / Menos 2,5Más 2,5 · 58%
Ambos marcanSí · 56%
Total más probable3 goles
Goles 1ª parteMenos 1.5 · 55%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Derry City (rating 1523 vs 1468).
- Historial directo a favor de Derry City: 3-1-2.
- Partido de tarjetas: 10.1 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Derry City | Waterford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.9 / 2 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 30/40/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.7 | 2.5 / 4.3 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Derry City 3–1–2 Waterford FC
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Derry City |
| 27/02/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Derry City | 4-2 HT 0-1 | Waterford FC |
| 17/10/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Derry City |
| 04/07/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Derry City | 7-2 HT 4-0 | Waterford FC |
| 25/04/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Derry City |
| 28/02/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Derry City | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Waterford FC |
Clasificación · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 21 | 47 |
| 2 | Bohemians Dublin | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 40 |
| 3 | St Patricks | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 19 | 38 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 32 | 35 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 33 | 34 | 31 |
| 6 | Derry City | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 29 |
| 7 | Galway United | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 34 | 24 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 38 | 22 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 35 | 20 |
| 10 | Waterford FC | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 44 | 17 |
Rivales en común 5 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Derry City | Waterford FC |
|---|---|---|
| Drogheda United | 2-0 V | 3-3 E |
| Shamrock Rovers | 1-1 E | 0-2 D |
| Dundalk | 1-2 D | 3-2 V |
| Shelbourne | 0-0 E | 1-2 D |
| St Patricks | 0-0 E | 1-4 D |
| Balance vs comunes | 1 V 3 E 1 D | 1 V 1 E 3 D |
Mejor contra rivales comunes: Derry City (4 de 5 cruces a favor)
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Derry City
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/6 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | V |
| 22/6 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | E |
| 19/6 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/6 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 5 | V |
| 29/5 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/5 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | E |
| 22/5 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 10 | E |
| 15/5 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | E |
| 8/5 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 4/5 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | E |
Waterford FC
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/6 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | V |
| 19/6 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 12/6 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | V |
| 29/5 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 9 | E |
| 22/5 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/5 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | V |
| 15/5 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | E |
| 8/5 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 4/5 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 5 | E |
| 1/5 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | D |