Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 03/07, 20:45
Cobh Ramblers vs Cork City
Expected goals: 2.33 (Cobh Ramblers 0.83 · Cork City 1.5). The model gives 20% home, 27% draw, 53% away. Under 2.5 goals (55%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 0-1.
53%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cobh Ramblers 1502 · Cork City 1591
| Cobh Ramblers | Draw | Cork City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 29% | 52% |
| Market | 21% | 25% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.33Cobh Ramblers 0.83 · Cork City 1.5
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 55%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cork City (rating 1502 vs 1591).
- H2H favours Cork City: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cobh Ramblers | Cork City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 2.2 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 2.5 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cobh Ramblers 2–1–3 Cork City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cork City | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cobh Ramblers |
| 06/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cobh Ramblers | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Cork City |
| 07/02/25 Republic of Ireland Munster Senior Cup | Cobh Ramblers | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Cork City |
| 23/08/24 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cobh Ramblers | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cork City |
| 13/06/24 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cork City | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Cobh Ramblers |
| 10/05/24 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cobh Ramblers | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Cork City |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 11 | 51 |
| 2 | UCD | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 31 |
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 31 |
| 5 | Wexford FC | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 27 |
| 6 | Kerry FC | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 25 |
| 7 | Longford Town | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 25 |
| 8 | Athlone Town | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 24 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 37 | 19 |
| 10 | Treaty United FC | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 33 | 17 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cobh Ramblers | Cork City |
|---|---|---|
| UCD | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Finn Harps | 3-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Longford Town | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Kerry FC | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Treaty United FC | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Athlone Town | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Bray Wanderers | 1-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Wexford FC | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 4 L | 7 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cork City (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cobh Ramblers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 19/06 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 04/05 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 24/04 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
Cork City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 29/05 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/05 | Rockmount Republic of Ireland Munster Senior Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 08/05 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |