Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 03/07, 03:15

A.Lobos BKB vs Isidro Metapan

Estimated 163.7 total points (A.Lobos BKB 81.2 · Isidro Metapan 82.5).

55%1

55% 45%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · A.Lobos BKB 1568 · Isidro Metapan 1633

	A.Lobos BKB	Isidro Metapan
Our model	54%	46%
Market	56%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 163.7 points · Bet365 line 172.5 · -8.8

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).

Model analysis

Estimated points163.7A.Lobos BKB 81.2 · Isidro Metapan 82.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isidro Metapan (rating 1568 vs 1633).
H2H favours Isidro Metapan: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	A.Lobos BKB	Isidro Metapan
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.5 / 77.7	100.1 / 80.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	95.8 / 82.2	93.8 / 79.2
Est. result	81	83

Est. total163.7

Line O/U172.5

Diff.8.8

Odds Bet365

11.65

22.12

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.83

2 (+2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 172.51.83

Under 172.51.83

Diff.: 2.35 · Est. total: 174.85

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 1.65 → 1.65 – 0%

2 2.12 → 2.12 – 0%

Over/Under 172.5

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Head-to-head (H2H) · A.Lobos BKB 2–0–4 Isidro Metapan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/07/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Isidro Metapan	85-82	A.Lobos BKB
05/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Isidro Metapan	89-71	A.Lobos BKB
29/03/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	60-65	Isidro Metapan
09/12/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	68-34	Isidro Metapan
07/12/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Isidro Metapan	70-65	A.Lobos BKB
05/12/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	77-72	Isidro Metapan

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isidro Metapan	18	17	1	1738	1347	35
2	San Salvador	18	14	4	1582	1278	32
3	A.Lobos BKB	18	14	4	1567	1273	32
4	Santa Tecla	18	12	6	1494	1311	30
5	Salvadorenos	18	10	8	1280	1292	28
6	Brujos Izalco	18	9	9	1309	1399	27
7	Cojutepeque	18	6	12	1275	1384	24
8	Ahuachapan	18	4	14	1360	1548	22
9	Santiagueno	18	3	15	1319	1692	21
10	Santa Ana BC	18	1	17	1313	1713	19

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	A.Lobos BKB	Isidro Metapan
Brujos Izalco	104-72 W	92-84 W
Ahuachapan	81-90 L	101-76 W
Salvadorenos	80-56 W	80-62 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: A.Lobos BKB (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

A.Lobos BKB

WWLWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/07	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	82-85	L
25/06	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	89-84	W
23/06	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	97-81	W
21/06	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	107-89	W
15/06	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	104-72	W
13/06	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	103-81	W
11/06	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	94-70	W
03/06	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	81-90	L
29/05	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	80-56	W
27/05	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	78-69	W

Isidro Metapan

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/07	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	85-82	W
24/06	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	96-79	W
22/06	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	82-74	W
20/06	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	105-85	W
14/06	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	101-76	W
12/06	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	105-77	W
10/06	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	94-80	W
04/06	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	92-84	W
01/06	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	80-62	W
31/05	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	161-105	W