Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 01/07, 01:15
Sayago vs Montevideo
Estimated 170.1 total points (Sayago 89 · Montevideo 81).
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sayago 1544 · Montevideo 1454
| Sayago | Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
170.1 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · +2.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Model analysis
Estimated points170.1Sayago 89 · Montevideo 81
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sayago (rating 1544 vs 1454).
- Sayago is a clear favourite (69% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sayago | Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 89.4 / 80.4 | 82 / 85.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80 / 80.6 | 82.6 / 89.6 |
| Est. result | 89 | 81 |
Est. total170.1
Line O/U167.5
Diff.2.6
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sayago 1–0–1 Montevideo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Sayago | 77-75 | Montevideo |
| 31/05/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Montevideo | 89-83 | Sayago |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trouville | 5 | 5 | 0 | 454 | 359 | 10 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 459 | 413 | 9 |
| 3 | Tabare | 5 | 3 | 2 | 442 | 380 | 8 |
| 4 | Stockolmo | 4 | 4 | 0 | 329 | 268 | 8 |
| 5 | Verdirrojo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 308 | 298 | 7 |
| 6 | Lagomar | 5 | 2 | 3 | 372 | 408 | 7 |
| 7 | Albatros | 5 | 2 | 3 | 407 | 452 | 7 |
| 8 | Larre Borges | 4 | 2 | 2 | 334 | 340 | 6 |
| 9 | Olivol Mundial | 4 | 2 | 2 | 291 | 313 | 6 |
| 10 | Sayago | 4 | 1 | 3 | 295 | 329 | 5 |
| 11 | Marne | 4 | 1 | 3 | 296 | 333 | 5 |
| 12 | Colon | 5 | 0 | 5 | 341 | 432 | 5 |
| 13 | Urupan de Pando | 4 | 1 | 3 | 309 | 303 | 5 |
| 14 | Montevideo | 4 | 1 | 3 | 355 | 364 | 5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sayago | Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Trouville | 79-93 L | 91-96 L |
| Olivol Mundial | 66-79 L | 72-76 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Montevideo (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sayago
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
82-75 | W |
| 18/06 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
68-82 | L |
| 12/06 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
79-93 | L |
| 06/06 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
66-79 | L |
| 19/11 | Albatros Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso |
105-74 | W |
| 09/11 | Reducto Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso |
89-82 | W |
| 06/11 | Reducto Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso |
92-82 | W |
| 30/10 | Juventud Las Piedras Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso |
96-72 | W |
| 27/10 | Juventud Las Piedras Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso |
108-70 | W |
| 20/10 | Albatros Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso |
109-95 | W |
Montevideo
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
91-96 | L |
| 18/06 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
72-76 | L |
| 12/06 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
113-103 | W |
| 06/06 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
79-89 | L |
| 21/08 | Capitol Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
58-84 | L |
| 15/08 | Club Atletico Yale Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
75-85 | L |
| 12/08 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
76-94 | L |
| 08/08 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
86-88 | L |
| 02/08 | Capitol Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
83-76 | W |
| 30/07 | Club Atletico Yale Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
87-65 | W |